The Cincinnati Reds (43-40) and Kansas City Royals (35-48) open a three-game interleague set Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Vladimir Gutierrez is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 3-3 with a 4.93 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 4.5 BB/9 in 38 1/3 IP over 7 starts.
The Reds rookie is coming off an awful outing Wednesday against San Diego. Gutierrez yielded 3 home runs, 3 walks and 6 hits leading to 6 ER in 4 1/3 IP.
LHP Mike Minor is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 6-6 with a 5.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 96 1/3 IP over 17 starts.
Minor carried a respectable 4.48 ERA into a June 25 start against the Texas Rangers but has allowed 14 ER across 10 IP in two starts since.
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Reds at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:17 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Royals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-185) | Royals -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Royals 7, Reds 4
Money line (ML)
Cincinnati swept the Cubs over the weekend and totes a four-game win streak into this series. The Reds are 19-11 since June 3.
Kansas City took 2-of-3 from the Twins over the weekend. The Royals had lost nine in a row before their Friday win over Minnesota and are just 6-22 over their last 28 games.
With the Reds being on the road after an 11-game home stand and with Minor having a solid history in effective bounce-backs after bad two clunkers in a row, the Royals are the value play. But SKIP THE MONEY LINE and leverage the plus money against the run-and-a-half.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Kansas City offense has been a near-average unit the last few weeks posting a .720 OPS since June 14. The Cincinnati attack is not as potent on the road (.685 OPS) or against southpaws (.673 OPS) as it is at home or against righties.
On a warm night in a high-total contest TAKE THE ROYALS -1.5 (+150).
Over/Under (O/U)
A forecast of 86 degrees at first pitch and with an outward-blowing breeze and with two second-division bullpens, BACK THE OVER 10 (-110) on a small-to-moderate lean.
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