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The Cincinnati Reds (18-24) and Arizona Diamondbacks (20-23) wrap up a 3-game set at Chase Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-1
The Reds snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-2 win over Arizona Tuesday to cash as +104 road underdogs. CF Will Benson hit a go-ahead 2-run HR in the 5th inning and was 1 of 5 Cincinnati players with 1+ RBIs. RHP Hunter Greene allowed 2 ER in 7 innings and picked up the win.
Arizona snapped a 2-game winning streak with Tuesday’s loss. Diamondbacks 2B Blaze Alexander plated both of the club’s runs with a 2-run single in the 3rd inning. RHP Slade Cecconi allowed 6 ER in 5 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.
Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Abbott (2-4, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 43 innings.
- Cincinnati is 4-4 in his starts
- Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of 8 appearances
- Has allowed 16 ER and 8 HR this season while striking out 37 and walking 12
Pfaadt (1-3, 4.60 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 47 innings.
- Diamondbacks are 2-6 in his starts
- Has allowed 3 or more ER in 4 of 8 outings
- Has allowed 24 ER and 5 HR while striking out 42 and walking 8
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Reds at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Diamondbacks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Diamondbacks 5
Moneyline
BET REDS (+120).
While Cincinnati has struggled recently, it is 2-3 on its road trip thus far. It has scored 4 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 games, including 5 runs in each of its last 3.
It took a 5-4 lead into the 9th inning in the 1st game of this series before allowing 2 runs to lose, and it held the Diamondbacks to just 2 runs Tuesday night. With LHP Andrew Abbott on the mound, the Reds present a solid opportunity to make some money Wednesday.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the run line.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-120).
Cincinnati has scored 5 or more runs in each of its last 3 games and 4 runs in 5 of its last 6. It has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and 4 or more in 7 of its last 9.
Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of its last 9.
Both starting pitchers also have a tendency to allow runs with each having an ERA above 3.30.
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