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The Cincinnati Reds (68-63) close out a 4-game road series with the Arizona Diamondbacks (68-62) Sunday afternoon. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 4-2
After losing the 1st 2 games of the series, the Reds picked up an 8-7 win in 11 innings on Saturday. It gives them 4 wins in their last 6 games and pulls them within a half-game of the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final Wild-Card spot.
The Diamondbacks’ loss on Saturday snapped a 6-game winning streak. They have won 9 of their last 11 games. They are in 2nd place in the NL West, trailing the Los Angeles Dodgers by 12 games, but holding a 1/2-game lead on the Reds for a Wild-Card spot.
Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. RHP Slade Cecconi
Ashcraft (7-8, 4.84 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 134 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 4-3 road win over Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday
- Reds have lost 3 of his last 4 starts and are 11-13 when he pitches
Cecconi (0-0, 2.93 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 4 BB and 9 K in 15 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in relief in 4-3 home win over Texas Rangers on Monday
- Allowed 2 ER in each of his 2 starts this season
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Reds at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Reds 5
Moneyline
The Reds are 37-29 on the road this season and 4-2 on their current road trip. But the Diamondbacks are on a bit of a roll. They have won 9 of their last 11 games and 11 of their last 14. They had a 4-2 lead in the ninth but the Reds sent it to extra innings.
Cecconi has been good in 4 appearances so far this season.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds are the best in the majors with an 83-48 ATS mark and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The Diamondbacks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
Four of the Reds’ last 6 wins are by only 1 run, so it might be hard against Arizona to win and cover. I like the Diamondbacks to win and just betting them to cover at -190 isn’t that appealing.
PASS.
Over/Under
The last 2 games of the series have had double-digit runs. Five of the Reds’ last 7 have had 10 or more runs while 5 of Arizona’s last 7 have had at least 9 runs.
BET OVER 9 (-115).
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