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The Chicago White Sox (27-76) and Texas Rangers (49-52) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set at Globe Life Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rangers lead 2-0
After taking the Monday opener 4-3 in 10 innings, the Rangers won 3-2 as -127 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7) hit. RHP Jon Gray retired the final 15 batters he faced and allowed just 1 run in 7 2/3 innings.
White Sox 1B Andrew Vaughn hit an RBI single in the 3rd inning, the last time that Gray would allow a Chicago batter to reach base. The White Sox have lost 9 straight games.
White Sox at Rangers projected starters
RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi
Flexen (2-9, 5.22 ERA) makes his 20th start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 101 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 4 K in 7-1 defeat at Kansas City Royals Friday
- 2024 road stats: 1-4, 5.83 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 9 appearances (7 starts)
- Career vs. Rangers: 6-0, 3.14 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 12 appearances (7 starts), including 0-0 with 15.00 ERA (3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 relief appearances last year
Eovaldi (6-4, 3.36 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 99 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 9-1 home setback vs. Baltimore Orioles Friday
- 2024 home stats: 5-1, 2.69 ERA (63 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 11 starts
- Career vs. White Sox: 2-2, 5.67 ERA (27 IP, 17 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 6 appearances (5 starts)
White Sox at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Rangers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-110) | Rangers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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White Sox at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, White Sox 3
Moneyline
The Rangers (-250) should hand Chicago its 10th straight loss, but it’s hard to be profitable long term betting into lines with this much vig.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The last time the Rangers won a game by multiple runs was their final outing before the All-Star break, a 4-2 home win over the Houston Astros July 14. Only 1 of Texas’ last 10 games has resulted in a Rangers win by 2 or more runs.
However, the Rangers are facing Flexen, who is the least profitable starter in MLB this season, according to OddsShark.com. If a bettor were to risk $100 on White Sox ML every time that Flexen started this season, they would be down $1,315 — not exactly a pitcher worth backing.
Flexen happens to be 6-0 in his career against the Rangers, but by no means is that stat predictive of the future. If you walk by a roulette table and red has hit 6 times in a row, it doesn’t mean that you’re less likely to win by betting on black.
Neither option seems very attractive, but taking Chicago in a close loss may be the lesser of 2 evils.
LEAN WHITE SOX +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Rangers have failed to score 5 or more runs in a single game since the break, and the White Sox have scored 3 or fewer in each outing over that span. While Flexen has given up 5 or more runs 5 times this season, the Rangers have been just too disappointing offensively to play the Over.
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
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