The Chicago White Sox (5-6) and Minnesota Twins (6-4) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Target Field on Tuesday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: White Sox lead 1-0.
Chicago won the opener of the series 4-3 on Monday, but really didn’t play well. They scored all 4 runs in the 4th inning while stranding 13 runners. They also committed 3 errors in the field and lost SS Tim Anderson due to knee soreness after a collision on the basepaths. He’s questionable Tuesday.
The Twins were without SS Carlos Correa for the 2nd straight day due to back spasms and he is day-to-day. They were able to get to Chicago’s best starter, Dylan Cease, with a 3-run HR by 3B Hanser Alberto. The Twins were just 2-for-48 (.041) against Cease last season. Minnesota will counter with its best starter Tuesday.
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White Sox at Twins projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP Pablo Lopez
Lynn (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.90 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 10 IP.
- Had problems with Minnesota last year in 3 GS: 0-2, 9.00 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 7.9 K/9 in 15 IP
- Current Twins are only hitting .257 with a .319 wOBA in 109 plate appearances
Lopez (1-0, 0.73 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.
- Hasn’t faced the White Sox and only has 9 plate appearances against their hitters; they’re 0-for-9 against him
- Pitching with confidence: His 11.7 K/9 would blow away the 8.7 K/9 from last season
White Sox at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Twins -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-165) | Twins -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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White Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, White Sox 3
Moneyline
The Twins should feel pretty good despite the loss Monday. Lynn’s numbers against the Twins last season are nearly identical to his rough start this year. They’ll put up 3 or 4 on him and cruise.
Take the TWINS -150.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m on board with the run line as well, but only risk a half-unit because of Minnesota’s inconsistent offense. Five of their 6 wins have been by multiple runs, and Lynn is giving up enough for my comfort level to hit the threshold needed.
Take the TWINS -1.5 (+135) for a HALF UNIT.
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Over/Under
The Under hit Monday thanks to the White Sox’s inability to drive in runners. I’m was leaning Over at 7.5 because of Lynn’s struggles. The White Sox are 8-1-1 O/U, and the Twins are 3-5-2. The Over is 5-0-1 in the White Sox’s last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. But with the total now 8, monitor the situation. PASS, and if it dips back to 7.5 then lean Over.
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