The Cleveland Guardians (53-56) welcome the Chicago White Sox (43-67) to Progressive Field Friday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox at Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: White Sox lead 6-4
Cleveland was swept in a 3-game series by the Houston Astros from Monday-Wednesday, losing 3-2 in the finale. The Guardians are 2 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. They are 28-24 at home this season but just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Chicago was swept by in a 3-game series by the Texas Rangers to kick off the week, losing 5-3 Thursday. The White Sox are just 20-38 on the road this season and 2-8 over their last 10 contests and trail the Twins by 12 1/2 games.
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White Sox at Guardians projected starters
RHP Mike Clevinger vs. LHP Logan Allen
Clevinger (4-4, 3.59 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 67 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 7-2 win vs. Guardians Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 2-3, 4.78 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 20 ER) over 7 starts
- Career vs. Guardians: 2-1, 21 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 14 H, 8 BB, 16 K across 4 starts
Allen (4-4, 3.70 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 80 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 4 K opposite Clevinger Saturday
- 2023 home stats: 1-2, 4.15 ERA (39 IP, 18 ER) in 7 starts
- Career vs. White Sox: 0-2, 17 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 22 H, 5 BB, 13 K in 3 starts, all this year
White Sox at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): White Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Guardians -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-150) | Guardians -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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White Sox at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, White Sox 3
Moneyline
PASS.
Considering the splits for each team in this situation (home vs. away), there isn’t much reasoning to bet on Chicago to go into Cleveland and win, being 18 games under .500 on the road.
However, with Clevinger, it should keep things close though. Nonetheless, I’d pass on both sides of the equation here and look for better value on the run line and/or total.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN WHITE SOX +1.5 (-150).
The White Sox haven’t been great on the road, but they have been great against the Guardians this season. Chicago is 40-35 on the run line as an underdog, and Cleveland is 23-37 on the run line as a favorite.
Despite the juice, those records make this playable. Clevinger has also had a great season and dominated the Guardians the last time he was on the mound. Chicago is 20-13 on the run line in its division as well, whereas Cleveland is 17-16.
Take WHITE SOX +1.5 (-150).
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
If there’s one trend both teams can get behind, it is backing the Under. Chicago is 49-55-6 O/U this season while Cleveland is 45-61-3 O/U.
Both teams have strong starters going. The Guardians are 1-2-1 O/U in Clevinger’s last 4 games and are 1-4-1 O/U in their last 6 games. Cleveland has gone Under in 3 of its last 4 games and in 4 of its last 6 outings.
Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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