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The Chicago Sky (13-26) and the Connecticut Sun (27-12) meet Thursday in the regular-season finale at Mohegan Sun Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sky vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Sun lead 3-0
The Sky and Washington Mystics are each 1 game back of the Atlanta Dream for the 8th and final playoff spot heading into Thursday’s finale. The Dream face the 1st-place New York Liberty, while Washington hosts the Indiana Fever.
While Connecticut has swept the season series to date, the margin of victory has been 4 or fewer points in 2 of the 3 outings, and 8 or fewer points in each of the meetings this season. The Over has cashed in all 3 games, and 4 straight in the series.
The Sky has dropped 4 in a row, while going just 1-4 in the 5 games since rookie Angel Reese went down with a season-ending wrist injury. That lone win Sept. 8 was against the lowly Dallas Wings. Chicago is also 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in the 4-game losing skid.
The Sun have lost each of the past 2 games, although that’s against Las Vegas on the road, and Minnesota at home. Against losing teams, Connecticut has won 6 in a row, while covering 4 straight.
Sky at Sun odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sky +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Sun -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Sky +13.5 (-115) | Sun -13.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Sky at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 84, Sky 66
Moneyline
Connecticut (-900) will cost you 9 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. The Sun is still fighting to keep the 3rd seed in the playoffs.
While Chicago (+600) is still mathematically alive for that postseason spot, it’s in a very tough situation after losing Reese, and it has been a shell of itself lately, even worse than the version that wasn’t winning a lot of games in the 1st place.
AVOID.
Against the spread
Play CONNECTICUT -13.5 (-105) laying the big points, but be careful and don’t get carried away.
While the Sun has dominated this series in 3 previous meetings, the margin of victory is a combined 14 points, or 4.7 points per game (PPG). Of course, each of those games were with Reese in the frontcourt giving the team 2nd and 3rd chances with her rebounding prowess.
Over/Under
UNDER 153.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 road games for the Sky, while the total has gone low at a 5-2 clip in the past 7 outings for the Sun. Again, the Over is 3-0 in the 3 meetings between these teams earlier this season, but Chicago has scored 70 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 outings during the skid.
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