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The Chicago Cubs (70-66) and Washington Nationals (61-75) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Chicago leads 2-0
Chicago had a 4-run 5th inning to beat Washington 5-3 Saturday while covering as a -108 road favorite. RHP Javier Assad picked up the win (6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 4 K).
Chicago has now won 5 straight while the Nationals have dropped both games in Chicago, losing the Friday opener 7-6.
Cubs at Nationals projected starters
RHP Jameson Taillon vs. LHP Mitchell Parker
Taillon (9-8, 3.85 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 133 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K in an 18-8 win at Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
- Career vs. Washington: 0-1, 4.38 ERA (39 IP, 19 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 7 starts
Parker (7-8, 4.26 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 126 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-2 loss vs. the New York Yankees Monday
- First career start vs. Cubs
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Cubs at Nationals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Cubs at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 2, Nationals 1
Moneyline
BET CUBS (-125).
The Cubs enter as the much hotter team as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and 7-1 in their last 8 games on on the road. Washington is only 5-5 in its last 10 games and 2-3 in its last 5 games at home.
Chicago has also won 4 straight games vs. Washington and is 4-3 in its last 7 meetings with the Nationals in Washington.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like the Nationals’ odds of covering here as +1.5 (-160) underdogs, but this line is set just slightly too favorably to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).
For Washington, the Under is 8-2 in its last 10 overall and is 4-1 in its last 5 losses. The Under has also hit in 6 of the last 7 Chicago-Washington matchups in the Nation’s Capital.
This is a very slight lean as the Over is 8-1-1 in Chicago’s last 10 and 4-1 in the last 5 matchups between these squads.
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