The New York Mets (51-62) welcome the Chicago Cubs (59-55) to Citi Field for the finale of their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLBNetwork). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cubs lead 3-2
The Mets lost 3-2 Tuesday as they failed to pick up momentum from a dominant 11-2 series-opening victory Monday. New York is 1-8 over its last 9 games and is 27-24 at home this season.
The Cubs suddenly find themselves in contention for an NL Wild Card and are 27-27 on the road. Chicago is 6-4 over its last 10 games and finds itself tied for 2nd in the NL Central, 1 1/2 games back of the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Cubs at Mets projected starters
RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. LHP David Peterson
Hendricks (4-6, 3.98 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 81 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 8-0 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
- 2023 road splits: 3-2, 2.78 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 19 ER) in 7 starts
Peterson (3-7, 5.65 ERA) makes his 13th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 65 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 10-3 road loss vs. the Baltimore Orioles Friday
- 2023 home splits: 2-2, 2.67 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 33 ER) in 4 starts and 4 relief appearances
Cubs at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:23 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Cubs at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 5, Mets 3
Moneyline
BET CUBS (-105).
The Mets haven’t won too often with Peterson on the mound, going 6-12 in games in which he has appeared and just 3-9 in games in which he pitched at least 3 innings. That’s a recipe for disaster against a Cubs side that has been surging recently.
Hendricks has also been rock solid on the road this season so BET CUBS (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Mets are an MLB-best 9-2 on the run line as home underdogs this season, and while Peterson hasn’t been great, he’ll also likely see limited action. However, New York +1.5 (-185) is far too expensive.
While Chicago has surged over the past month, it is just 6-4 over its last 10. The moneyline play is a better value instead of taking the Cubs to win by margin.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 9 (-105).
The Mets have the 4th-lowest Over percentage in the majors at just 47-62-4 O/U. They are just 1-9-1 O/U as home underdogs as well. New York has gone Under in 2 of its last 3 games and has scored more than 3 runs in just 1 of its last 7 games.
The Cubs have cashed the Under in 3 of their last 6 and have scored a combined 5 runs in their 2 games against the Mets so far this series.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]