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The Milwaukee Brewers (91-69) welcome the Chicago Cubs (82-78) to American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 6-5
The Brewers opened their final series of the regular season with a 4-3 win over the Cubs Friday. They closed as a +100 underdog. Milwaukee has won 3 straight games and 7 of its last 10.
The Brewers are 48-31 at home this season while the Cubs are 37-42 on the road. Chicago is 4-6 over its last 10. With a Cubs loss to Miami Marlins win, Chicago will be eliminated from playoff contention.
Cubs at Brewers projected starters
LHP Jordan Wicks vs. LHP Eric Lauer
Wicks (4-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 7th start. The rookie has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 33 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 4-3 home win vs. the Colorado Rockies Sunday
- 2023 road stats: 2-1, 2.66 ERA in 20 1/3 IP over 4 starts
- Never faced Brewers before
Lauer (4-5, 5.48 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 42 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-4 loss at Tampa Bay Rays last Saturday
- 2023 home stats: 1-3, 8.44 ERA (16 IP, 15 ER) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
- 2023 vs. Cubs: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 9-5 road win April 2
- Career vs. Cubs: 3-1, 4.50 ERA (42 IP, 21 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
Cubs at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 5, Brewers 3
Moneyline
BET CUBS (+105).
Chicago is still in the Wild Card race, but it has lost 4 straight games. 2021 first-round pick Wicks has been strong on the mound this season and should give the Cubs an edge. They are 5-1 in his 6 starts, winning 3 of those 6 by 4 or more runs.
The Cubs are 29-21 in divisional games as well. The Brewers have less to play for and should be looking forward to the postseason. Take CUBS (+105).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There isn’t much value on the spread. The Cubs are too expensive at +1.5 (-190), and the Brewers aren’t worth the risk at -1.5 (+155).
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).
The Cubs have gone Under in 2 straight games and in Wicks’ last 5 starts. They are 78-77-4 O/U this season. Chicago went Under 8.5 in its 4-3 series-opening loss Friday.
Milwaukee is 70-83-6 O/U this season, and it has gone Under in 4 straight games. Back UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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