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The Chicago Cubs (39-45) and the Milwaukee Brewers (46-40) play the 3rd contest of a 4-game series Wednesday at American Family Field. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 3-2 after Tuesday’s 7-6 victory by the Cubs in 11 innings
The Cubs held a 6-2 lead heading to the bottom of the 8th inning, but they couldn’t hold the lead. The Brewers scored 2 in the bottom of the 8th, and 2 more in the bottom of the 9th, to force extra innings. Chicago cashed with a run in the top of the 11th to win 7-6.
Chicago stopped a 3-game losing streak with the win Tuesday. It has scored 6 or more runs in each of the last 3 outings, while also allowing 6 or more runs in 4 in a row.
The Brewers offense has been on fire, posting 38 runs in the last 5 games, an average of 7.6 runs per game (RPG). The problem is that the Milwaukee pitchers have coughed up 32 runs during the span, which is 6.4 RPG. Needless to say, the Over has cashed in all 5 outings.
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Cubs at Brewers projected starters
LHP Justin Steele vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Steele (9-2, 2.43 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 85 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 10-1 home win vs. the Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 2023 road splits: 3-1, 2.68 ERA (37 IP, 11 ER – 2 HR) with a .211 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
Houser (3-2, 3.88 ERA) makes his 9th start and 11th overall appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 46 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 road win vs. the New York Mets last Thursday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 4.67 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 9 ER – 2 HR) with a .268 OBA in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
Cubs at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+105) | Brewers +1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 4, Brewers 2
Moneyline
The CUBS (-155) are worth a look as moderate favorites behind Steele, the 1st-time All-Star. Steele handled his business in his 1st start of the season April 1 against the Brewers at Wrigley Field, allowing just 3 hits and a walk in 6 scoreless innings with 8 strikeouts in a no-decision. Steele posted a solid 1.56 ERA in 17 1/3 IP in 3 starts in the month of June, too.
While American Family Field has been a house of horrors for the Cubs over the years, Chicago won Tuesday, and it has the pitching advantage Wednesday. Don’t be scared off.
Run line/Against the spread
The CUBS -1.5 (+105) are worth a look on the run line laying the run and a half. Steele has been tremendous this season, especially in his last 3 starts. And he twirled 6 scoreless innings in his first appearance against the Brewers +1.5 (-130).
Chicago has covered the run line in 5 of the last 7 games when favorites.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the lean because of Steele, although Houser has been pretty sharp overall, too.
The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 games for the Cubs following a win, while going 9-2 in the last 11 road games against a right-handed starting pitcher.
The Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 for the Brewers in Game 3 of a series, while cashing at a 21-7-2 clip in the last 30 home games against a team with a losing overall record.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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