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The Milwaukee Brewers (49-33) welcome the Chicago Cubs (38-45) to American Family Field Saturday for the 2nd of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 5-3
The Brewers, who are one of the best home teams in MLB with a 26-12 record, beat the Cubs to open this series 4-2 with all the game’s runs coming in the 4th inning. Milwaukee has won 5 straight games, covering in all 5 as well. They have also won 9 of their last 13 games. Against the spread (ATS), the Brewers are 45-37 this season.
The Cubs, who dropped to 16-27 on the road with the Friday’s defeat, have lost 4 of their last 5 games, all away from Wrigley Field. They are just 2-6 over their last 8 as well. The Cubs have been underdogs in their last 4 games and are the 10th-worst team in the MLB at 19-27 straight up as underdogs. Chicago is 38-45 ATS on the season. The Cubs are led in HRs (15) and RBIs (45) by 3B Christopher Morel.
Cubs at Brewers projected starters
LHP Justin Steele vs. RHP Tobias Myers
Steele (0-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 64 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-4 loss at San Francisco Giants Monday
- 2024 away splits: 0-1, 2.50 ERA (36 IP, 10 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 5 HR, 9.5 K/9 in 6 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.00 ERA (67 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 14 appearances (12 starts)
Myers (5-2, 3.12 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 52 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 6-2 victory at San Diego Padres Sunday
- 2024 home splits: 1-0, 5.12 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 5 HR, 8.8 K/9 in 4 starts
- Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 12.00 ERA (3 IP, 4 ER), 2.33 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 1 start this season
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Cubs at Brewers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Brewers -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+150) | Brewers +1.5 (-182)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -104)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Cubs 4
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (-108).
While Myers is in his 1st season in the majors, the Brewers have played well behind him, winning his last 5 starts. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Milwaukee is 7-4 in his 11 appearances and is 3-1 in his 4 home starts. The Brewers are 28-20 following a win as well.
Chicago is just 19-18 as a favorite, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. The Cubs have been one of the worst road teams in MLB this season as well. Despite Steele being a strong weapon for Chicago, it is 2-9 in his 11 starts. Considering those trends, BET BREWERS (-108).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Brewers +1.5 (-182) as run-line underdogs are far too expensive to take here. Similarly, the Cubs -1.5 (+150) aren’t worth a play as risky run-line favorites, especially considering their road struggles.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-122).
Both teams were bottled up against elite starting pitchers Friday, and they should bounce back Saturday. The Brewers have tallied at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 5 games and are 44-34-4 O/U on the season.
They have gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games as well. The Cubs are 2-3 O/U in their last 5 yet have allowed at least 4 in 5 of their last 6.
BET OVER 8.5 (-122).
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