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The Chicago Cubs (27-27) and Milwaukee Brewers (31-22) play the 2nd game of a 4-game set at American Family Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0
Cubs manager Craig Counsell returned to Milwaukee Monday for the 1st time since taking the job in Chicago, and it did not disappoint.
The Brewers won 5-1 as +104 underdogs in the series opener and the Under (8) hit behind impressive outings from both starters.
Brewers LHP Robert Gasser allowed just 3 hits in 6 shutout innings, and Cubs LHP Justin Steele did even better with 7 shutout innings and 3 hits. Unfortunately for Chicago, the bullpen was the issue once again, allowing 5 runs in the 8th inning.
May has not been a good month for the Cubs, as they are hitting just .188 with RISP.
Cubs at Brewers projected starters
RHP Ben Brown vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Brown (1-1, 3.20 ERA) makes his 6th start and 13th appearance. The rookie has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 39 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-0 home loss against Atlanta Braves Thursday
- 2024 road stats: 1-1, 4.44 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 4 starts and 3 relief appearances
Peralta (3-3, 3.81 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 56 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1-0 road setback against Miami Marlins Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: 1-0, 4.24 ERA (17 IP, 8 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 3 starts
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Cubs at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cubs +125 (bet $110 to win $125) | Brewers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-160) | Brewers -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Cubs at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 6, Brewers 3
Moneyline
The Cubs are 3-10 straight up in the past 13 games, but they’re also 16-10 (61.5%) after a loss this season. I like the value on the Cubs at plus money.
BET CUBS (+125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers are 11-11 ATS at home, while the Cubs are fairly better on the road at 17-11.
You can buy a run if you like Chicago in this spot, but for me, the juice is too much. I will stick with the moneyline.
PASS.
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Over/Under
Milwaukee has the 3rd-highest Over rate at 18-10-2 (64%) after a win. They are also 14-7-1 (66%) to the Over at home. Both starters have a worse ERA in this situation (Brown on the road and Peralta at home), so runs should be easier to find.
Both teams struggled to score in the series opener, and I expect that won’t hold Tuesday.
LEAN OVER 8 (-105).
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