The Chicago Cubs (42-40) and Cincinnati Reds (41-40) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cubs at Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Adbert Alzolay is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs. He is 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 65 1/3 IP over 13 starts.
Alzolay has dropped three straight starts, coughing up 11 earned runs in just 10 2/3 innings during the span. However, he allowed just five hits and three walks with six strikeouts in 5 2/3 scoreless innings in a win over the Reds May 28.
RHP Tyler Mahle is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 84 1/3 IP over 16 starts.
Mahle lost last time out allowing four runs, six hits and a walk with seven strikeouts over six innings in a loss against the Atlanta Braves. He allowed just one hit and one walk with eight strikeouts in five scoreless frames in a road win against the Cubs May 30.
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Cubs at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:00 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Cubs +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Reds 5, Cubs 2
Money line (ML)
The REDS (-140) are a solid play on their home field against the Cubs (+115). They won the series opener 2-1 at GABP, and they shoot for their first three-game win streak since rattling off six consecutive victories from June 11-16. Mahle had two of those six wins.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The REDS -1.5 (+145) are worth a roll of the dice. While their past two wins have each been one-run games, four of their past six victories have been by two or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (+100) easily connected in Friday’s series opener with three total runs, and we should get another low-scoring game with Mahle and Alzolay on the mound. The Under is 5-2 in Mahle’s past seven starts, while the Under is 4-1-2 in Alzolay’s past seven outings.
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