The NFL’s worst quarterbacks against every type of coverage

Who failed last season against everything from Cover-0 to Red-2? Doug Farrar reveals the NFL’s worst quarterbacks against every type of coverage.

Complexity of coverage has expanded exponentially throughout the NFL’s history, and specifically in the NFL’s recent history. The days of the Tom Landry “umbrella” base defense are long-gone, though those concepts led the way in pro football for decades. The implementation of the zone defense in the 1960s and 1970s, the acceptance of the slot defender as starter in the early days of the new millennium, spin-offs and iterations of single-high ahd two-deep concepts in recent years, and the addition of match coverage as s staple from the 1990s to now have all expanded the picture regarding what defenses can throw at quarterbacks and their targets.

Just as offenses have never been more diverse and efficiently explosive than they are now, there have never been more different ways to deal with a passing game from a coverage perspective than their are now.

In line with that, we have studied the NFL’s best quarterbacks against every type of coverage…

The NFL’s best quarterbacks against every type of coverage

…and you know how this goes. If there’s a best, there’s got to be a worst. So, here are Touchdown Wire’s worst quarterbacks against every type of pass coverage.

(All metrics courtesy of Sports Info Solutions unless otherwise indicated).

The NFL’s best quarterbacks against every type of coverage

Who’s the best against Cover-1? Cover-6? Red-2? Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar reveals the NFL’s best quarterbacks versus every type of coverage.

Complexity of coverage has expanded exponentially throughout the NFL’s history, and specifically in the NFL’s recent history. The days of the Tom Landry “umbrella” base defense are long-gone, though those concepts led the way in pro football for decades. The implementation of the zone defense in the 1960s and 1970s, the acceptance of the slot defender as starter in the early days of the new millennium, spin-offs and iterations of single-high ahd two-deep concepts in recent years, and the addition of match coverage as s staple from the 1990s to now have all expanded the picture regarding what defenses can throw at quarterbacks and their targets.

Just as offenses have never been more diverse and efficiently explosive than they are now, there have never been more different ways to deal with a passing game from a coverage perspective than their are now.

In line with that, we also have more and better metrics when it’s time to analyze which quarterbacks are the best and most effective against every type of coverage. And with that in mind, here’s Touchdown Wire’s list of the best NFL quarterbacks against every type of coverage.

(All metrics courtesy of Sports Info Solutions unless otherwise indicated).

Why rookie RB Dameon Pierce will be the Texans’ three-down weapon

Touchdown Wire’s Laurie Fitzpatrick goes to the film to show why Dameon Pierce is the Texans’ future three-down back.

With Jonathan Taylor, James Robinson and Derrick Henry currently dominating defenders in the AFC South, the Houston Texans finally grabbed a bruiser for themselves — former Florida Gator Dameon Pierce — with the second pick in the fourth round.

“He plays with a lot of joy,” Texans general manager Nick Caserio said following the draft. “He plays with a lot of fight. He plays with a lot of toughness, and his personality, I would say, transfers over to the football field.”

Pierce said, “I like to fight for my yards. I like to punish the defense. I don’t like taking hits. I like giving hits.”

In 2021, Pierce ran for 574 yards on only 100 carries.. He had 13 rushing touchdowns and a total of 1,806 yards in his career. According to PFF, he was first among all running backs in college football with a 92.0 PFF grade.

What makes him the best back in the draft is his production. Let’s go to the film to understand why Pierce is the Texans’ three-down back of the future!

Deshaun Watson will not face criminal charges

A grand jury in Texas has declined to indict Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson will not face criminal charges as a Harris County (Texas) grand jury on Friday chose not to indict the quarterback on nine criminal complaints of sexual assault or harassment,  according to Johna Stallings with the Harris County District Attorney’s Office.

“Today we presented nine criminal complaints for consideration by the grand jury. Beginning at 9 o’clock this morning, we presented evidence for over six hours for the grand jury to consider, as well as having witnesses available for those persons to testify in front of the grand jury,” Stallings, of the division chief of adult sex crimes and trafficking at the Harris County District attorney’s office. “And the grand jury considered all of that evidence and returned nine no bills against Deshaun Watson involving these nine criminal complaints. We respect the grand jury’s decision and … conclude the criminal proceedings in Harris County.”

Per the Houston Chronicle and The New York Times:

The decision came down the same day Watson was deposed in connection with two of the 22 civil lawsuits against him, which are separate legal matters. Watson declined to answer questions under oath, invoking his Fifth Amendment right to not incriminate himself during that proceeding, attorney Rusty Hardin said.

… Neither of those cases in the deposition involved women who filed criminal cases against the quarterback, however. Tony Buzbee, a lawyer for the 22 women who have filed civil lawsuits against Watson, said that Watson cited his Fifth Amendment right and declined to answer questions during the two depositions, as Hardin previously said he would. Each of the depositions lasted about 90 minutes, and Buzbee estimated that Watson responded to 150 questions or more by citing his Fifth Amendment right. The women who filed these two civil cases did not submit criminal complaints against Watson.

Watson, 26, has denied any wrongdoing.

Watson did not play at all for the Texans in the 2021 season under this cloud of controversy.

Fire alarm interrupts press conference as Texans introduce Lovie Smith

An ill-timed fire alarm struck as the Texans introduced Lovie Smith as their head coach

The Houston Texans tried to introduce Lovie Smith as their head coach on Tuesday.

As with everything else with the AFC South team, it didn’t go smoothly.

GM Nick Caserio was responding to a question about the Brian Flores lawsuit and a fire alarm went off … evacuate the building, please.

Hopefully, this won’t mean a continuation of the dumpster fire the team has become.

 

Davis Mills and his future in Houston

Has Davis Mills done enough to be in the future plans down in Houston?

One of the more fascinating results from the Week 16 slate of the NFL season took place down in Houston where the Texans threw a big monkey wrench into the postseason plans of the Los Angeles Chargers. With their 41-29 victory over the Chargers, the Texans bounced Los Angeles out of playoff position for the time being.

The win also brought into focus a question that the Texans might need to consider this offseason: What do they have in quarterback Davis Mills, and is he worth building around as the organization awaits the fate of Deshaun Watson’s legal proceedings?

In the win, Mills completed 21 of 27 passes for 254 yards and a pair of touchdowns. On the season he has completed 66.6% of his throws for 2,200 yards and 12 touchdowns against 9 interceptions, and when you consider that four of those interceptions came in a single game — Week 4 at Buffalo in just his second NFL start — he seems to have settled into the position.

So let’s look at Mills and this question, starting with his draft evaluation, what he has shown on film this season, and more.

 

Davis Mills shines against the Chargers

Houston Texans quarterback Davis Mills helped the team pull off one of the year’s big upsets, and made a case for his own future.

A topsy-turvy NFL season continued to surprise on Week 16, with one of the more surprising results of the year coming thanks to Davis Mills and the Houston Texans, who throttled the visiting Los Angeles Chargers by a final score of 41-29. The win improved the Texans’ record to 4-11, while it dropped the Chargers’ season record to 8-7, taking them out of playoff positioning for the moment.

Mills turned in an efficient showing for the Texans in the win, completing 21 of 27 passes for 254 yards and a pair of touchdowns, without an interception. His first touchdown pass came on a perfectly-throw deep ball, targeting Chris Conley on the go route along the right sideline:

Mills drops the throw in perfectly, putting it into the bucket for the touchdown before halftime.

His second touchdown pass came later in the game, as he targeted Nico Collins between a pair of defenders in the red zone:

The touchdown was the first of Collins’ NFL career, and looks to be a sight adjustment by the quarterback as he throws the backside slant against single coverage rather than handing the football off against a stacked box. This is something that you will see quarterback do against heavy boxes, and for more on the sight adjustment you can read this piece on Aaron Rodgers.

On this play, the Chargers have nine defenders in the box with a “deep” safety lurking about nine yards downfield, but with the cornerback giving Collins an inside release, Mills throws the slant and his receiver takes the ball to the end zone for six.

Mills was one of the quarterbacks who generated a little buzz late in the pre-draft process last spring. With questions about who would be the sixth quarterback taken after the top five, Mills was mentioned as a player who could perhaps sneak into the end of the first round. He checked in as the seventh-ranked quarterback in Touchdown Wire’s pre-draft rankings, and here is what we had to say about him in the spring:

His competitive toughness has me believing in him, as I am not going to miss on a player who checks that box. I think there is an NFL future ahead of Mills, and one as a starting quarterback. But he will need the right path and the right landing spot to reach that goal. I think teams with a critical need behind an entrenched starter would be smart to draft Mills sometime later on Day Two, teams like the Tennessee Titans or the Atlanta Falcons if they decide to pass on a QB early in the draft. Those offenses might also be ideal for Mills’ skill-set, as they rely heavily on play-action and schemed shot plays downfield. I think he fits best in more of a ball controlled West Coast system, and those two landing spots could be ideal.

Given what Mills has done to this point, there is a case to be made that he has earned the right to be Houston’s starting quarterback when 2022 season begins. The Texans are slated to have a pick at the top of the first round, but with uncertainty over the incoming class of rookie passers, the organization could address another player and add an elite talent with that selection, and try and build around the quarterback position and see how Mills handles it as the incumbent starter in 2022. With what he has shown to date, that looks like a smart plan for Houston.

Of course, there is the Deshaun Watson situation that remains unresolved, but what Mills has done this year certainly gives the Texans a number of options going forward.

Texans’ Tremon Smith with 98-yard kickoff return

Tremon Smith with the kickoff return for Houston against Jacksonville

The Houston Texans aren’t showing any compassion for the Jacksonville Jaguars and their troubles.

Looking for a sweep of their AFC South counterparts, the Texans are off to a running start on Sunday.

They were leading 7-3 when the Jags made the mistake of kicking off to Tremon Smith.

Ninety-eight yards later, Smith and the football were in the end zone and the Texans were looking good as they aimed for their third win of 2021.

Sunday Night Football social media team poking fun at both teams.

Texans CEO Cal McNair alleged to have made anti-Asian comment

The Houston Texans are in an ugly period and a comment alleged to have been made by boss Cal McNair is only making things worse

The ugly situation surrounding the Houston Texans got messier on Tuesday.

A report by Michael Silver of Bally Sports says Houston Texans Chairman and CEO Cal McNair made a racially insensitive comment at the team’s charity golf tournament in May.

Per the report:

McNair, addressing more than 100 attendees at the Houston Texans Foundation Charity Golf Classic at River Oaks Country Club, spoke into a microphone just outside the pro shop …

At the end of his brief remarks, according to two witnesses who asked to remain anonymous, McNair – whose family has owned the Texans since they were founded in 1999 – told the crowd, “I’m sorry that we couldn’t get together last year, because of the China Virus.”

As McNair and his wife, Hannah, looked on smirking, some audience members were stunned by the reference to the COVID-19 virus, which had forced the 2020 tournament’s cancellation.

This comes with the Deshaun Watson masseuse scandal hovering over the organization and after an offseason that saw the quarterback in a contentious battle with management.

Watson has not played a down while waiting for the situation that has seen 22 civil lawsuits and 10 criminal complaints of sexual misconduct lodged against him.

And more background from the Silver report:

After Cal McNair’s comments at the golf tournament, according to one attendee, Hannah McNair joked about her husband’s use of the term “China Virus” to several people who had been present for the remark. The previous week, according to an organizational source, Hannah McNair — the vice president of the Texans Foundation — had made a public-facing visit to a local Asian community center.

McNair has been the Texans’ Chairman and CEO since his father, Bob, died in November 2018. A multimillion dollar contributor to Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign, Bob McNair had been the source of organizational turmoil the previous fall, when ESPN reported that he had told other NFL owners that they “can’t have the inmates running the prison” during a meeting to address player protests about police brutality.

Houston Texans’ Davis Mills picking apart New England Patriots

A rookie QB is having a game as the Texans face the Patriots. Davis Mills, not Mac Jones

No surprise a rookie QB is having a big game as the New England Patriots face the Houston Texans in a Week 5 game on Sunday.

The shock, however, is that it is Houston’s Davis Mills and not Alabama’s prized first-round pick Mac Jones.

The first TD toss of the game for Mills went to Anthony Auclair, not your everyday fantasy player.

This one was good for 11 yards.

Mills followed with a pretty pass to Chris Moore, who did the rest on the 67-yard catch and run.

Oh, the score was 12-6 after a trio of touchdowns in the game. Yep, all 3 PATs were missed.