The NFL’s best quarterbacks against every type of coverage

Who’s the best against Cover-1? Cover-6? Red-2? Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar reveals the NFL’s best quarterbacks versus every type of coverage.

Complexity of coverage has expanded exponentially throughout the NFL’s history, and specifically in the NFL’s recent history. The days of the Tom Landry “umbrella” base defense are long-gone, though those concepts led the way in pro football for decades. The implementation of the zone defense in the 1960s and 1970s, the acceptance of the slot defender as starter in the early days of the new millennium, spin-offs and iterations of single-high ahd two-deep concepts in recent years, and the addition of match coverage as s staple from the 1990s to now have all expanded the picture regarding what defenses can throw at quarterbacks and their targets.

Just as offenses have never been more diverse and efficiently explosive than they are now, there have never been more different ways to deal with a passing game from a coverage perspective than their are now.

In line with that, we also have more and better metrics when it’s time to analyze which quarterbacks are the best and most effective against every type of coverage. And with that in mind, here’s Touchdown Wire’s list of the best NFL quarterbacks against every type of coverage.

(All metrics courtesy of Sports Info Solutions unless otherwise indicated).

The NFL’s best players at every position

From safeties to quarterbacks, Touchdown Wire’s Doug Farrar and Mark Schofield rate the best players at every position.

Last season, Touchdown Wire’s Mark Schofield and Doug Farrar assembled their lists of top 11 NFL players at every position, and then rolled that into their list of the top 101 players in the NFL. They’re doing it again this year, and here are the lists heading into the 2021 season. From safeties to quarterbacks and everything in-between, here are the NFL’s best players at every position.

The best NFL quarterbacks for every type of throw

Quarterbacks are challenged to excel in all kinds of situations, and here are the best NFL QBs for every type of throw for the 2020 season.

As the NFL learns to embrace advanced metrics, there are stories to tell from those numbers, especially when you match them with tape. One of the things these drill-down stats give you is an interesting set of names when it comes to the best quarterbacks for different types of throws, in different schemes, against different defensive ideas and with certain pre-snap and post-snap advantages and disadvantages.

When I first put together a list of the best quarterbacks for every type of throw last year using the Sports Info Solutions database, there were a number of different quarterbacks who showed up in a positive sense — everyone from Drew Brees and Russell Wilson to Ryan Tannehill (who hit the list more than any other quarterback, and we should stop assuming that Tannehill isn’t up to the Julio Jones addition).

In the sequel to that exercise for the 2020 season, one quarterback stood out above all: Aaron Charles Rodgers. The reigning NFL MVP, and a guy who has made it very clear that he no longer wants to be a part of the Green Bay Packers, had an insanely great season that looks even better when you go beyond the traditional numbers.

There are other quarterbacks on this list, but Rodgers proved as few other quarterbacks can in any one season that no matter what he did, or what defenses did against him, he was going to blow up those defenses in every way possible. If the Packers can’t work this out, someone’s going to get an all-timer at the top of his game. It should also be said that, based on a lot of these numbers, Rodgers may not do quite as well in any system that isn’t authored by Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur.

That marriage counseling aside, here are the best quarterbacks for every type of throw for the 2020 season.

How pre-snap motion helps the NFL’s best (and sometimes worst) quarterbacks

Pre-snap motion can be a cheat code for quarterbacks, and here are the NFL’s best with pre-snap motion from the 2020 season.

How positively impactful can pre-snap motion be for NFL quarterbacks? Consider this: In 2020, when former Bears starter and current Bills backup Mitchell Trubisky had the benefit of pre-snap motion, he completed 81 of 111 passes for 856 yards, 381 air yards, seven touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 101.9, which was the league’s sixth-highest for quarterbacks with at least 100 passing attempts. Without pre-snap motion, Trubisky looked a lot more… well, Trubisky-esque, completing 118 of 186 passes for 1,199 yards, 622 air yards, nine touchdowns, seven interceptions, and a passer rating of 82.3, which put him 30th in the NFL.

Not that every quarterback is able to glide off the concept of pre-snap motion to that degree, and no offense to Mr. Trubisky, but if it can turn him into a plus starter, imagine what it can do for the game’s best signal-callers?

When we talk about pre-snap motion, there are two obvious kinds: Motion to indicate, and motion to disrupt. Motion to indicate means that we want the quarterback to have an idea what the defense is doing based on the motion reaction of the defense. Generally speaking, if a receiver goes in motion and a defender follows, man coverage is coming. If the defense stays static and you see adjustment calls, it’s most likely zone. Some defensive coordinators are getting smarter about this, showing man reaction and playing zone and vice versa, and you can expect this to happen more often, but it’s usually helpful.

When we talk about motion to disrupt, we’re talking about the ability to use pre-snap motion to put a defense in a bad position — either by moving a receiver to a spot where he’ll face a defender who can’t keep up with him, or by using motion to establish route concepts in which primary defenders are taken out of the play altogether.

There are those offensive play-callers who have imagined and created all of this to the great benefit of their quarterbacks, and here are the best quarterbacks with pre-snap motion in the 2020 season.

(All metrics courtesy of Sports Info Solutions).