Bulls rumors and offseason previews of East lottery teams with Michael Scotto and Yossi Gozlan

HoopsHype’s Michael Scotto and Yossi Gozlan preview the NBA offseason for lottery teams in the East.

On the latest edition of the HoopsHype podcast, host Michael Scotto is joined by Yossi Gozlan, HoopsHype’s salary cap expert. Gozlan and Scotto previewed the offseason for each Eastern Conference lottery team. The duo shared intel on the free agencies of Jarrett Allen, Kyle Lowry, Doug McDermott, TJ McConnell, and others. The pair also discussed coaching candidates for the Orlando Magic to keep an eye on, extension candidates this summer, and more. 

For more interviews with players, coaches, and media members, be sure to like and subscribe to the HoopsHype podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and anywhere else you listen to podcasts. Listen to the podcast above or check out some snippets of the conversation in a transcribed version below.

NBA trade intel: Aaron Gordon, Spencer Dinwiddie, Nemanja Bjelica and more

NBA trade updates on Aaron Gordon, Spencer Dinwiddie, Nemanja Bjelica, and Aaron Holiday from HoopsHype’s Michael Scotto.

This week the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat fortified their frontcourts for a run in the East by acquiring PJ Tucker and Trevor Ariza. With less than a week before the NBA trade deadline, other forwards could be on the move as well.

Here’s the latest intel HoopsHype has gathered on some of the top players available on the trade market.

TJ McConnell steals bad passes more often than any other player this century

Indiana Pacers guard TJ McConnell recorded the first triple-double with steals since Mookie Blaylock accomplished the same feat in 1998.

Indiana Pacers guard TJ McConnell recorded the first triple-double with steals since Mookie Blaylock accomplished the same feat in 1998.

His game was impressive but it was actually not particularly out of character for McConnell. He has recorded 62 steals so far this season, which leads all NBA players. The Indiana guard is averaging 2.9 steals per 36 minutes, also the most in the league. His steal percentage (3.8 percent) is a full point higher than what Jimmy Butler, second-best in 2020-21, has recorded.

Not every turnover is created the same, though, as there is a difference between capitalizing on a bad pass and picking up loose balls. While bad passes are more common among the live-ball turnovers, we were curious how McConnell stacked up historically compared to other defenders.

We used PBP Stats, which scraps play-by-play data from NBA.com, to look at the 500 players who have recorded the most steals from bad passes since 2000-01.

(Data via PBP Stats)

Per 36 minutes, McConnell has averaged 1.50 steals from bad passes. That ranks No. 1 overall.

Behind the former undrafted free agent was six-time NBA All-Defensive guard Tony Allen (1.48) and then four-time NBA All-Defensive wing Doug Christie (1.40). To put those numbers in perspective, take a look at the rates from contemporary elite defenders such as Marcus Smart (1.26) and Kawhi Leonard (1.22).

Counting stats, like steals, are not the only way to define a good defender. But when someone’s productivity is elite, that certainly says something about them as a player. In this case, it says that the passing lane is simply not safe anywhere near McConnell.

Nov 19, 2014; Tucson, AZ, USA; Arizona Wildcats guard T.J. McConnell (4) defends an inbound pass by UC Irvine Anteaters guard Alex Young (1) during the first half at McKale Center.
Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

But even dating back to his time in college at the University of Arizona, as you can see in the photo above, McConnell has been particularly adept when guarding the simplest play of the game.

ESPN’s Zach Lowe recently described McConnell as someone who has a “supernatural instinct” when it comes to stealing inbound passes. He is an irritant who will defend all 94 feet and pick his defender up for a full-court press, which is unusual to see in the NBA as it opens up a potential 5-on-4 opportunity for the offense.

McConnell explained what this does to his opponents and why it has been such a priority for him during his career (via Indy Star):

“I hope they don’t catch on. One of those things where you get a quick bucket, team falls to sleep, lobs the ball in there. It’s just one of those things I can’t really explain. I sniff out the play before it happens.”

Due to his defensive playmaking, opponents cannot relax with the ball during the 25 minutes per game that McConnell plays for Indiana.

Indiana is allowing 1.10 points per possession so far this season, according to InPredictable. But following a made shot or dead ball turnover, essentially a possession that includes an inbounding process, that drops to just 1.03 PPP. That mark currently ranks third-best in the NBA and the best in the Eastern Conference.

There is obviously a ton of noise in that data considering there are far more players on the Pacers than just McConnell. But there is no doubt that he has played a crucial role in this defensive style.

You can watch how he does it because last month, TalkingPacers.com cataloged the 54 inbound passes that McConnell had stolen during his professional career. It’s an amazing collection of highlights for the Indiana guard.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NB_Nx0VpDus

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After the James Harden trade, what’s next for Bradley Beal, Ben Simmons, Andre Drummond and Victor Oladipo?

What’s next for James Harden and Victor Oladipo after the trade, and possible destinations for Ben Simmons, Bradley Beal and Andre Drummond.

On this episode of the HoopsHype podcast, Michael Scotto is joined by colleague Yossi Gozlan, our salary cap expert. Scotto and Gozlan discuss what’s next for the Nets, Rockets, Pacers, and Cavaliers after the James Harden four-team blockbuster trade. The duo also examines Harden, Kevin Durant, and Kyrie Irving will mesh in Brooklyn and what potential extensions could look like for the Nets and their luxury tax bills. They also look at the trade market for Ben Simmons, Bradley Beal, and Andre Drummond, and the upcoming free agency of Victor Oladipo. Listen to the podcast above or check out some snippets of the conversation in a transcribed version below.

2:45 What could an extension look like for James Harden with the Brooklyn Nets? 

Gozlan: If he (Harden) wanted to maximize his money, the best thing for him would be to sign an extension where he opts into his $47 million player option for 2022-23 (season) and then adds an additional three years. Because he’ll have two years after this, including the player option, he can add an additional three more years starting this summer. That would be for about $161 million. Then, Kyrie and KD can both sign extensions as well. KD can add four years, $198 million. Kyrie can add four years, $165 million. I have both of them in those extension numbers declining their options for 2022-23 (season), but just replace it with a slightly higher raise than what those player option amounts would be. So about $160 million basically for Harden and Kyrie each and almost $200 million for KD. Those extensions put all of them through 2026. Just so you get an idea how expensive it’s going to be to keep these three, and I’m going to go ahead and say they’re going to get the maximum extensions… Next year, they’re already combined about $15 million below the luxury tax, just them three, alone. Let’s say they sign these max extensions that put them through 2026. KD would be making $55 million in 2026, Harden would be making $58 million, and Kyrie would be making $45.5 million.

6:15 Luxury tax implications and future revenue for the Brooklyn Nets 

9:15 What assets do the Nets have to make a trade? 

Scotto: A younger guy like Nic Claxton. I know that teams around the league from when I was at the arena last year would always come where opposing scouts and executives when Claxton would warm up. He was a guy that drew some interest from teams around the league because he came out a lot of people felt he came out maybe a year early. If he would’ve stood another year in college, he would’ve been a lottery pick. I think that’s an interesting guy that’s a trade chip they still have if they want to flip down the line.

10:20 Brooklyn had interest in acquiring Bradley Beal if he was ever made available before trading for Harden

Scotto: Internally, there were some members of the Nets organization who coveted Bradley Beal. A similar package of Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen, some salary fillers, and draft pick compensation that they gave up for Harden would’ve been on the table for Beal with the Washington Wizards too. However, members of the Wizards organization weren’t as high on LeVert or Allen, to my knowledge. Washington still wants to hold onto Beal, and they want to make it work with him looking ahead long term.

11:45 Did the Nets give up too much for Harden? 

More: Five most likely candidates to sign with Nets after James Harden trade

16:00 What the small mass on Caris LeVert’s left kidney could mean long-term 

Scotto: The Pacers could’ve voided the trade, and they didn’t. Hopefully, that signals from their medical staff and the doctors who did the physical that I’d hope there’s some optimism for his health moving forward long-term.

17:50 What the 76ers failing to trade for Harden means for Ben Simmons 

More: NBA executives sound off on Simmons and 76ers for failing to trade for Harden

22:45: Is Bradley Beal the next All-Star who will be moved by the trade deadline? 

Scotto: He’s the guy that I think a lot of executives around the league are keeping a close eye on. That’s really the next star player that could be on the move and a guy that can make a difference for a franchise.

More: Six potential free-agent replacements for Thomas Bryant

26:25 More teams who could have interest in trading for Beal 

33:55 Which teams could make sense to trade for Andre Drummond? 

36:10 What’s Drummond’s value as of now? 

40:45 Victor Oladipo’s future

Scotto: Ryan McDonough, the former GM of the Suns, tweeted Oladipo was offered an extension of about $25 million (starting annual salary), there was fear he’d walk away for nothing, and that was part of the reason why Indiana moved him and got Caris LeVert back. He’s a younger guy, less expensive, and under control.

A league source that I spoke to with knowledge of Indiana’s thinking said that Oladipo was available since September on the trade market.

Gozlan: With Houston getting Oladipo, I’m guessing Oladipo was open to the possibility of a future in Houston. I don’t know why else Houston would’ve taken him instead of keeping LeVert.

Scotto: You could make the case that maybe Houston wasn’t fully enamored with LeVert, and maybe they still want to compete. That said, I don’t think you give up a young guy like that for a guy that’s a free agent that’s going to walk. I think the optics of the situation there’s a possibility Houston thinks Oladipo is a better asset that you can flip at the trade deadline and get more back. If they keep Oladipo past the trade deadline, then there’s pressure from an optics standpoint that you just traded for this guy, and you can’t let him walk. This is a guy that’s in the prime of his career. That would give Oladipo and his camp leverage going into free agency.

Related: Art of the smokescreen: The thought process behind execs and agents leaking info

Related: How NBA players ask for trades: ‘It does get vicious. It’s a divorce’

You can follow Michael Scotto on Twitter: @MikeAScotto

What the four-way James Harden trade means for each team

NBA execs explain what the four-team trade between the Nets, Rockets, Pacers and Cavaliers means for James Harden, Victor Oladipo and more.

As you may have heard, the Rockets, Nets, Pacers, and Cavaliers have agreed to a four-team blockbuster trade. James Harden heads to Brooklyn. Victor Oladipo, Dante Exum, Rodions Kurucs, and a ton of draft picks are going to Houston. Caris LeVert and a second-round pick are going to Indiana. Jarrett Allen and Taurean Prince head to Cleveland.

The Nets and 76ers were the two teams battling it out for Harden’s services at the end of the race, but Philly felt the Rockets were using them as leverage to extract as many assets from the Nets, Harden’s preferred destination, a league source told HoopsHype.

According to one executive, Philadelphia blew a chance to improve their options as a contender by failing to land Harden.

“I think Philly missed an opportunity and now is stuck being in the middle of the East,” one Eastern Conference executive told HoopsHype. “They’re not as good as Brooklyn, Milwaukee, Boston, and in the end, Miami. They might just be a No. 5 seed by end of the season. Ben Simmons has not improved in one area of his game at all since coming into the league. He’s the same player today as he was in his rookie year, and teams have figured him out in the playoffs. He’s why they won’t go far.”

HoopsHype spoke with multiple executives about their reactions to the trade and what it means for all four teams that were involved moving forward.

“I like the deal for the Pacers and Houston,” another Eastern Conference executive told HoopsHype. “Brooklyn gave up a king’s ransom. Not sure why Cleveland took on Taurean Prince as well as giving up an unprotected pick swap. Harden is the best player in the deal, but Brooklyn is all in, and they have no protection in the future. Cleveland will look to dump Andre Drummond, and Jarrett Allen has a bright future in the league.”

Below is a breakdown of what the trade means for each team involved.

NBA free agency notes on Fred VanVleet, Jae Crowder, Avery Bradley and Jeff Green

Take a look at the latest intel HoopsHype has gathered from some of the other top free-agent agreements of the day.

The second day of NBA free agency had several top free agents agree to new deals, including Gordon Hayward, who agreed to a four-year, $120 million deal with the Charlotte Hornets. As HoopsHype reported before the start of free agency, the Hornets were going to make a strong push to land Hayward.

Below is a look at the latest intel HoopsHype has gathered from some of the other top free-agent agreements of the day.

Michael Scotto and Sam Amick on NBA coaching rumors and the Kings

Michael Scotto is joined by Sam Amick of The Athletic to discuss Sacramento’s hire of Monte McNair as GM and Luke Walton’s future.

On this episode of the HoopsHype podcast, Michael Scotto is joined by Sam Amick of The Athletic. Scotto and Amick discuss Sacramento’s hire of Monte McNair as GM, who in the front office wanted to take Marvin Bagley over Luka Doncic in the draft, and what the hiring means for coach Luke Walton’s future. The duo also discusses the coaching openings for the Chicago Bulls, Houston Rockets, Indiana Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans, Oklahoma City Thunder, and Philadelphia 76ers. Finally, the pair touch on Chris Paul trade scenarios and the futures of coaches Mike D’Antoni and Billy Donovan.

:46 NBA bubble life

2:33 McNair joining the Kings as GM and thoughts on the hiring search

Amick: “The Kings’ reputation for the last 14 years is the kind of thing that has put them in the challenging position when it comes to conducting a search like this. They settled on six candidates and each of them bringing something different to the table, but before that the three that pulled out being Trajan Langdon, Adam Simon, and Calvin Booth, but before that, you can definitely believe that a lot of guys made it clear through back channels that they didn’t have interest partly I think because of concerns about Vivek Ranadive, the Kings owner, who’s got such a checkered past in his short time in the NBA world. I think money came into play like it always does.”

“I like the Monte hire. For one, I’ve gotten to know him a decent amount over the past couple of years, doing a lot of coverage on the Rockets’ side. Specifically, where I find him so interesting is every person on that candidate list had a fairly deep analytics background, but with Monte, I’ve seen him in real-time have the ability to not only extrapolate what’s happening with the team analytically and make the best of the roster but to communicate with the coaching staff.”

6:45 Vlade Divac, Sachin Gupta’s time with Sam Hinkie, and the front office dynamic with Joe Dumars

Amick: “You hit on this earlier, some of the candidates coming in, and, really, I think all of them, wanted some clarity on the question of where does Joe’s voice fall here? They made it very clear the GM doesn’t work for Joe, but his voice still matters. I think the thing that Kings fans are nervous about and locally is there’s been a lot of discussion about the fact that Vivek has this habit that’s repeated itself over and over again where he’ll have a GM and then he’ll have a former player, which in his mind is the Jerry West role. There’s nothing inherently wrong with that, but what’s happened several times now is that when things get a little sideways with the GM, that former player who has Vivek’s ear ultimately becomes a threat to the GM. The irony of Vlade Divac stepping down was a direct result of Vivek telling Vlade that he wanted Joe to be above Vlade on the basketball operations food chain. Vlade did not react well to that and he bounced. Before that, the ironic part is you had Pete D’Alessandro as the GM and out of nowhere they brought in Vlade Divac, who is obviously a beloved former Kings player, and he was the one in the advisor role and Pete wasn’t happy about that.”

13:00 Doug Christie as a potential player development coach down the line

Amick: “I’ve seen Doug work with a Buddy Hield and work with some of the younger dudes. I’ve told him myself you need to be in player development. He’s really good.”

13:55 Who was pounding the table in the front office for Marvin Bagley over Luka Doncic?

Amick: “I’ve got to take Vlade at his word, Vlade has said publicly and privately that he wanted Bagley.”

“They were through the roof on De’Aaron Fox. He had just had a breakout year. You had a general concern that a guy like Luka is going to take the ball out of De’Aaron’s hands, so you’re going to take some of the superpower away from a young guy that you think can be your franchise centerpiece.”

“It is a brutal pick. It’s the reason Vlade’s not there. If he picked Luka and Luka took off, Vlade would absolutely still be in charge of the Kings’ basketball operations. It’s an all-timer. Making matters even worse, I do believe that Vivek was on Bagley as well. There’s kind of a new person in the Kings’ space. Vivek’s son, Anil, was also part of this GM search and he’s kind of inserted himself into the equation over the course of the past year. I’ve heard several times that he was pounding the table for Luka.”

MORE: Fox voted one of the top players under 25 to build around in executives poll

17:43 Some other bad draft misses, including the Celtics and Nuggets

Amick: “For the Celtics, Jimmy Butler. They had JaJuan Johnson and Butler. That was their two-man list. JaJuan is nowhere to be found, and Jimmy is pushing this kind of underrated Heat team into a possible Finals appearance. The one that (Tim) Connelly shared, the one that gets a lot of focus, is Donovan Mitchell. They traded Donovan as you know and sent him to Utah.”

18:53 With the new front office in Sacramento, what is Luke Walton’s future?

Amick: “I think he’s definitely fine for the foreseeable future. I do think that the message was sent to Monte because that’s who they hired that they’re pretty invested both financially and kind of spiritually in Luke.”

20:24 Potential roster changes

Amick: “You’ve got the Buddy Hield situation. He does not see himself as a sixth man. He’s not happy as a sixth man. That problem is not going away, and you gave him starter money. Do you test the market on Buddy? Can you get anything back?”

Bogdan Bogdanovic is a restricted free agent, and I guarantee you that Bogdan is looking at this situation now and just simply deciding, ‘Am I really buying into this?’ You can’t really blame him if he’s somewhat skeptical just because of all of the turmoil and the change.”

21:46 Bogdanovic’s future

22:30 NBA coaching carousel starting with the Bulls

Scotto: “When I look at the Bulls, Kenny Atkinson always seemed like an ideal fit there given what he did in Brooklyn building up the culture and really developing guys, which Chicago is built around. They have a ton of young guys in Wendell Carter, Lauri Markkanen, Zach LaVine, Kris Dunn and Coby White. You’ve heard talk of assistants like Ime Udoka and Wes Unseld Jr., who worked with Arturas Karnisovas. I think he’s a sleeper. Somewhere in there, I can see Billy Donovan having interest as well because I think they’re on the rise.”

26:23 D’Antoni’s future and the coaching search for the Indiana Pacers

Scotto: “(Indiana) has talked to a bunch of other candidates. They’ve done a lot of extensive research. I know they’ve done background on Atkinson.”

Amick: “If I had to handicap it, I don’t see that (Indiana) as a fit (for D’Antoni). I don’t see that happening.”

“Another name that’s been tied there is Mike Brown, the Warriors’ assistant, who I heard that Steve Kerr was advocating on his behalf with the Pacers.”

“(D’Antoni) is definitely going to be considered for the Philadelphia situation. I was told that the word considered is perfect. It’s not the front runner. It’s not short lister. They’ll think about it. I think Billy Donovan would be above D’Antoni on that list. That’s my sense anyway”

31:35 Coaching search for the 76ers and Udoka background stories

34:49 Will the Thunder begin rebuilding and trade CP3?

Amick: “Myself and Eric Nehm, who covers the Bucks for us, have two sources telling us that the Bucks have zero plans of pursuing a Chris Paul trade.”

MORE: Chris Paul trade scenarios for the Bucks and Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 2021 free agency

MORE: What’s next for Giannis Antetokounmpo, Mike Budenholzer and the Bucks? NBA GMs and executives weigh in

Scotto: “Steven Adams is a guy I certainly look for OKC to dangle out there. They’ve done it before. Dennis Schroder as well. He’s a guy who was in the Sixth Man of the Year conversation. I don’t know if his value would be higher than it is right now.”

39:10 OKC’s coaching search and Donovan

42:18 Rockets, Pelicans searches, Ty Lue, Jeff Van Gundy and Jason Kidd 

Amick on the Rockets: “Another name that wouldn’t surprise me to get involved is Alvin Gentry.”

MORE: NBA talent evaluators on the future of Rockets, Harden: ‘Can’t keep it the same’

You can follow Michael Scotto on Twitter: @MikeAScotto