Category: NASCAR Picks and Predictions

2022 Goodyear 400 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 Goodyear 400 odds at Darlington, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Darlington Raceway Sunday for the 2022 Goodyear 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below we analyze the 2022 Goodyear 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

This is the first of two stops at Darlington, with the first Round of 16 race in the playoffs set for Sept. 4 in the Cook Out Southern 500.

Joe Gibbs Racing’s Martin Truex Jr. won this race last May with an average speed of 123.562 mph. The victory completed a JGR season sweep at the track as teammate Denny Hamlin took the checkered flag in the September race.

Hamlin’s win was his second in his last 4 Darlington runs – and third in his last 8 races – at “The Lady In Black.”

Hamlin and MTJ could have a new teammate, albeit temporarily, as Kyle Busch is on “Baby Watch.” His wife Samantha is due to give birth to their second child any day now, so Trevor Bayne is on standby and would hop behind the wheel of the No. 18 if Busch leaves to join his wife.

2022 Goodyear 400: What you need to know

  • Hendrick Motorsports driver and 2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a 5.5 Average-Finish Position (AFP). He has 8 Cup starts at Darlington and has led 656 laps but has never won. He has 3 consecutive 2nd-place runs among his 5 top-5 finishes.
  • Hamlin leads all active drivers with 4 Darlington victories, and his 7.1 AFP is second only to Larson. Hamlin has 11 top-5 finishes among his 15 top-10 showings in 19 Cup starts at Darlington.
  • Hendrick’s William Byron has struggled at this track, posting a 20.9 AFP with just 3 laps led in 7 Cup starts. Trackhouse Racing’s Ross Chastain, who is having a nice season, is just ahead of Byron with a 20.6 AFP in 5 cup starts, tied with JGR’s Christopher Bell in the same amount of starts.

[tipico]

Goodyear 400 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:21 p.m. ET.

KYLE LARSON (+480) is the chalk (favorite). I suggest backing him despite the fact he has no victories at Darlington. He has been about as dominant as possible, and he has never finished lower than 14th in his 8 Cup starts here.

We can’t overlook HAMLIN (+750) at this price, either. He has been tremendous at Darlington. It wouldn’t be a shock seeing the No. 11 machine pulling into Victory Lane for a 5th time.

Goodyear 400 picks – Long shot

Richard Childress Racing driver AUSTIN DILLON (+4000) is worth a roll of the dice at this price. Like Larson, Dillon doesn’t have a Darlington win. He has a pair of top-5 finishes among 4 top-10 runs, including  a runner-up finish in 11 career Cup starts at the track. His 12.2 AFP is seventh among all active drivers, too.

A better play might be DILLON TOP-10 FINISH (+150), something he has done on 4 separate occasions here.

Goodyear 400 prop pick

BRAD KESELOWSKI TOP-10 FINISH (+250)

It has been a trying season for Keselowski, but this is a solid track for the Michigan native. He has a win with 8 finishes inside the top 10 in 16 career Darlington starts. He has an 11.1 AFP, which ranks 5th among all active drivers.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 odds at Dover, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Dover Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (FS1). Below we analyze the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

After a thrilling GEICO 500 last weekend on the superspeedway at Talladega, it’s back to the concrete surface in Delaware’s capital city at DMS, most affectionately known as the “Monster Mile.”

Hendrick Motorsports’ Alex Bowman won last season’s lone stop at Dover. NASCAR switched to a one-race schedule at this track in 2021, moving the other date to Nashville Superspeedway, also a Speedway Motorsports, Inc. venue. In fact, that’s why this track was rebranded from Dover International Speedway to Dover Motor Speedway, due to the recent ownership change.

Dover is one of just two tracks on the schedule with a concrete surface. Bristol, which is the other, was the site of the recent 2022 Food City Dirt Race, so Sunday is just one of two concrete races this season.

2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400: What you need to know

  • Hendrick Motorsports driver and 2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a 7.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 13 career starts at Dover, winning once with 10 top 10s and 880 laps led.
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr., from nearby New Jersey, won his first NASCAR Cup Series race at this track back in 2007. He considers this his home track.
  • MTJ, Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick lead all active drivers with 3 checkered flags apiece at Dover. Truex Jr. has an 11.7 AFP with 18 finishes inside the top 10 in 31 career Cup starts.

[tipico]

DuraMAX Drydene 400 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:46 p.m. ET.

Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+425) is the chalk (favorite). He represents a tremendous value on the concrete. As mentioned above, he leads all active drivers with a ridiculous 7.0 AFP in 13 career Cup starts, finishing inside the top 10 on 10 different occasions.

Larson’s teammate CHASE ELLIOTT (+550) also represents a nice value. Chevrolet looks to go to Victory Lane for a second straight race, and the No. 9 might be the one to do it. He has a win, eight top-5 runs and 321 laps led in just 11 career Cup starts in Dover.

DuraMAX Drydene 400 picks – Long shot

Stewart-Haas Racing driver COLE CUSTER (+10000) is definitely a long-shot worth taking. Just a $1 bet can net $100 if he is able to pull off the victory.

Custer has been a quick study on the concrete of Dover, posting two top-10 finishes and a 10.3 AFP in his three career Cup starts, second only to Larson among active drivers when it comes to AFP. He has never finished lower than 11th here, either, going 10th, 11th and 18th in his three runs.

DuraMAX Drydene 400 prop picks

CHEVROLET TOP MANUFACTURER (-120)

When Ross Chastain took checkers at the GEICO 500 last week in Talladega, he also brought Chevrolet to Victory Lane. Chevy has dominated Dover over the years and has been to Victory Lane in three of the past six Dover races.

TRUEX JR. – GROUP 1 WINNER

Take TRUEX JR. (+260) in the Group 1 block against Elliott (+260), Bowman (+260) and William Byron (+240).

This is a competitive group, and Bowman is the defending champ at Dover. But MTJ has always loved racing at his hometown track, and this price is a tremendous value.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 GEICO 500 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s 2022 2022 GEICO 500 at Talladega, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Talladega Superspeedway Sunday for the 2022 GEICO 500. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below we analyze the 2022 GEICO 500 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

It’s time for the second superspeedway race of the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series season, and it’s always a free-for-all at Talladega.

It’s wide open as far as potential winners, as the smaller teams have a much stronger chance at places like Daytona and Talladega than at the flat tracks, intermediate/tri-ovals and road courses.

23XI Racing’s Bubba Wallace picked up checkers in a rain-shortened Talladega race last October. Before Wallace, the three previous Talladega winners were Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin and Ryan Blaney, who won back-to-back in June 2020 and October 2019 for Penske Racing. Keselowski, when he was with Penske Racing back then, won in his Ford in late April and Hamlin won in August 2022 for Joe Gibbs Racing.

However, in recent seasons we have seen Wallace, Aric Almirola (October 2018) and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (May 2017) race to victories, while David Ragan won in May 2013. The playing field is leveled quite a bit, and some of the drivers with longer odds have a legitimate shot here.

2022 GEICO 500: What you need to know

  • Petty GMS Motorsports driver Ty Dillon leads all active drivers (minimum 2 starts) with a 12.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP), posting a top 5 among two top 10s and 10 laps led. His best finish at ‘Dega was a 3rd-place run in October 2020, and he has never been worse than 17th.
  • Stewart-Haas Racing’s Chase Briscoe, who spun Tyler Reddick on the final lap at last week’s Bristol Dirt Race as the two battled for the win, finished 11th and 14th last season in his first two Talladega Cup starts.
  • JTG Daugherty Racing’s Stenhouse Jr. has a win at this track, and the Mississippi native has 6 top-5 runs among 9 top 10s and 104 laps led with a 14.1 AFP in 17 career Cup starts at Talladega.
  • Keselowski, now with RFK Racing, leads all active drivers with 6 Talladega checkered flags, posting 9 top-5 finishes with 313 laps led in 26 career Cup starts with a 15.1 AFP.

[tipico]

GEICO 500 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:17 p.m. ET.

Penske Racing’s JOEY LOGANO (+1200) is second behind former teammate Keselowski with 3 Talladega victories under his belt.

Logano last won at this track in the spring 2018 race, and a Ford has ended up on Victory Lane in 10 of the past 13 races at Talladega following Logano’s victory in Octoboer 2015.

In fact, you are in good shape playing either Logano or his teammate RYAN BLANEY (+1000), who has 2 wins among his 3 top-5 finishes with a 17.3 AFP. Penske usually is the team to beat at the Alabama superspeedway.

GEICO 500 picks – Long shot

RICKY STENHOUSE JR. (+3000) has some amazingly long odds given his solid track record at Talladega, so let’s take advantage.

As mentioned, Stenhouse won at Talladega back in May 2017, and 9 of his 17 career starts at the track have resulted in top-10 finishes.

However you construct your ticket this weekend, Stenhouse Jr. should be part of ir.

GEICO 500 prop picks

CHASE BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH

BRISCOE (-190) was one turn short of cashing a ticket as a top-10 finisher last week on the dirt at Bristol before he got tangled up with Reddick. Briscoe showed out in his first 2 forays on the superspeedway last season, going for finishes of 11th and 14th.

His price is a bit high, but there’s a good chance he places top 10 as long as he avoids getting collected in “The Big One.”

TY DILLON TOP-10 FINISH

DILLON (+210) has had amazing success, as mentioned above, finishing 17th or better in his 8-career Cup starts. The driver of the No. 42 Chevrolet isn’t likely to win, as lately it’s a Ford thing at ‘Dega, but Dillon might be right there challenging in the end for a top-10 showing.

COREY LAJOIE TOP-10 FINISH

The Spire Motorsports driver LAJOIE (+250) has had some solid runs so far this season. He started 24th at the Daytona 500, and worked his way up to a 14th-place finish on the superspeedway to open the season. He managed an 11th-place run in the Duel No. 2 during Speedweeks. He had a respectable 15th at Las Vegas, and brought it home 5th at Atlanta after starting 33rd.

LaJoie was 16th in the June 2020 race at Talladega, and 7th in the October 2019 run at this track. This wager is anything but a guarantee, but it’s a solid value.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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