The NASCAR Cup Series moves to Dover Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (FS1). Below we analyze the 2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.
After a thrilling GEICO 500 last weekend on the superspeedway at Talladega, it’s back to the concrete surface in Delaware’s capital city at DMS, most affectionately known as the “Monster Mile.”
Hendrick Motorsports’ Alex Bowman won last season’s lone stop at Dover. NASCAR switched to a one-race schedule at this track in 2021, moving the other date to Nashville Superspeedway, also a Speedway Motorsports, Inc. venue. In fact, that’s why this track was rebranded from Dover International Speedway to Dover Motor Speedway, due to the recent ownership change.
Dover is one of just two tracks on the schedule with a concrete surface. Bristol, which is the other, was the site of the recent 2022 Food City Dirt Race, so Sunday is just one of two concrete races this season.
2022 DuraMAX Drydene 400: What you need to know
- Hendrick Motorsports driver and 2021 NASCAR Cup Series champion Kyle Larson leads all active drivers with a 7.0 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 13 career starts at Dover, winning once with 10 top 10s and 880 laps led.
- Joe Gibbs Racing driver Martin Truex Jr., from nearby New Jersey, won his first NASCAR Cup Series race at this track back in 2007. He considers this his home track.
- MTJ, Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick lead all active drivers with 3 checkered flags apiece at Dover. Truex Jr. has an 11.7 AFP with 18 finishes inside the top 10 in 31 career Cup starts.
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DuraMAX Drydene 400 – Expert picks
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:46 p.m. ET.
Hendrick’s KYLE LARSON (+425) is the chalk (favorite). He represents a tremendous value on the concrete. As mentioned above, he leads all active drivers with a ridiculous 7.0 AFP in 13 career Cup starts, finishing inside the top 10 on 10 different occasions.
Larson’s teammate CHASE ELLIOTT (+550) also represents a nice value. Chevrolet looks to go to Victory Lane for a second straight race, and the No. 9 might be the one to do it. He has a win, eight top-5 runs and 321 laps led in just 11 career Cup starts in Dover.
DuraMAX Drydene 400 picks – Long shot
Stewart-Haas Racing driver COLE CUSTER (+10000) is definitely a long-shot worth taking. Just a $1 bet can net $100 if he is able to pull off the victory.
Custer has been a quick study on the concrete of Dover, posting two top-10 finishes and a 10.3 AFP in his three career Cup starts, second only to Larson among active drivers when it comes to AFP. He has never finished lower than 11th here, either, going 10th, 11th and 18th in his three runs.
DuraMAX Drydene 400 prop picks
CHEVROLET TOP MANUFACTURER (-120)
When Ross Chastain took checkers at the GEICO 500 last week in Talladega, he also brought Chevrolet to Victory Lane. Chevy has dominated Dover over the years and has been to Victory Lane in three of the past six Dover races.
TRUEX JR. – GROUP 1 WINNER
Take TRUEX JR. (+260) in the Group 1 block against Elliott (+260), Bowman (+260) and William Byron (+240).
This is a competitive group, and Bowman is the defending champ at Dover. But MTJ has always loved racing at his hometown track, and this price is a tremendous value.
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