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The Miami Heat (13-13) welcome the Brooklyn Nets (11-17) to Kaseya Center Monday. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nets vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; split last season 2-2
The Heat lost 121-114 as 2-point underdogs at the Orlando Magic Saturday. They were led by a 23-point performance from C Bam Adebayo, shooting 8-for-15 from the field. Miami has lost 3 in a row yet is still 4-3 over its last 7. It is 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last 9 games and 11-15 ATS on the season.
The Nets lost 105-94 as 1.5-point home favorites vs. the Utah Jazz Saturday. F Cam Johnson led the way with 18 points, but commited 6 turnovers. Brooklyn has lost 4 of its last 5 games and 3 in a row at home, but is 3-3 ATS over its last 6. The Nets are 16-11-1 ATS on the season.
Nets at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nets +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Heat -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Nets +10.5 (-110) | Heat -10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 212.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Nets at Heat key injuries
Nets
- F Bojan Bogdanovic (foot) out
- F Dorian Finney-Smith (calf) questionable
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
- G Cam Thomas (hamstring) out
- F Ziaire Williams (knee) out
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (stomach) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nets at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 115, Nets 104
Moneyline
PASS.
The Heat (-500) are rightfully heavy favorites, but considering the value, they should be avoided to win outright. The Nets, who have lost 7 of their last 9 games, haven’t played well enough to assume they can pull off the upset.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -10.5 (-110).
The Heat have covered well at home as of late. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 at Kaseya Center and have wins over teams like Cleveland and Phoenix. Miami has scored at least 114 points in 5 of its last 6 at home, so it should have the firepower to pull ahead.
The Nets, down their leading scorer in Thomas, have scored 101 or fewer points in 3 straight games and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as favorites of 7 or greater. Considering those trends, back HEAT -10.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 212.5 (-115).
The Nets have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 games, and their defense has been a major problem, allowing 130 or more points in 2 of their last 4. Brooklyn is 3-2 O/U in its last 5 on the road.
The Heat are 5-2 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored at least 114 points in 6 of their last 7, allowing more than 100 in 6 in a row as well. Miami is 15-11 O/U on the season.
Play OVER 212.5 (-115).
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