The Memphis Grizzlies (49-23) host the Brooklyn Nets (38-34) Wednesday at the FedExForum for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Brooklyn has won 6 of its last 7 games — 5-2 against the spread (ATS) — which includes back-to-back victories at home over the Portland Trail Blazers Friday (128-123) and the Utah Jazz Monday (114-106).
Memphis is 5-1 straight up (SU), but just 3-3 ATS in the last six games with the most recent being a 122-98 beatdown of the Rockets Sunday in Houston.
The Grizzlies hammered the Nets 118-104 in Brooklyn Jan. 3 as 6.5-point road underdogs and the Nets had both Kevin Durant and James Harden in the lineup.
Nets at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Nets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Grizzlies +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Against the spread: Nets -1.5 (-112) | Grizzlies +1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Nets at Grizzlies key injuries
Nets
- SG Seth Curry (ankle) questionable
- PG Goran Dragic (knee) doubtful
Grizzlies
- PG Ja Morant (knee) out
[tipico]
Nets at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Nets 123, Grizzlies 114
Money line
GIMME the NETS (-125) for 1 unit because they are just a different team when both KD and Kyrie Irving play.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG), Brooklyn scores 18.3 more points per 100 possessions when both KD and Kyrie are on the floor, which would rank in the 99th percentile of all 5-man lineups.
Furthermore, the Nets have flipped the switch post-All-Star break. Brooklyn is 4-2 SU on the road since the All-Star Game, third in adjusted net rating (plus-12.2) and first in ATS margin (plus-15.2), per CTG.
Also, the Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last nine road games and 5-1 ATS in their last six on the road versus teams with a winning record.
On top of that, the Grizzlies (+102) would feel like a fake sharp bet. Technically, Memphis scores 3.5 fewer points per 100 possessions when Morant is on the floor, per CTG. But, the Grizzlies will need someone who can create their own look, especially against two of the NBA’s best scorers.
I’d BET the NETS (-125) all the way up to -140 before laying up to 3.5 points with Brooklyn.
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Against the spread
PASS since Brooklyn’s ML is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Nets -1.5. (-112).
Obviously, Brooklyn should win by margin here but I’m confident enough in the Nets to take their ML instead of having to sweat them ATS.
Over/Under
PASS because there’s no value in this line since my prediction aligns with the market’s projected total. For what it’s worth, Brooklyn is 37-34-1 O/U (21-15-1 O/U on the road) and Memphis is 37-32-3 O/U (17-16-1 O/U at home).
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