The Tampa Bay Rays (76-58) will try to sweep the Boston Red Sox (67-70) in Wednesday’s final game of a 3-game series. First pitch will be at 6:40 p.m. ET from Tropicana Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Rays lead 11-4 and have won 9 of the last 11 games against Boston, including the last 3
After winning 5 straight, the Red Sox have lost their last 2 games to the Rays. They’re now 9 games back of a wild-card berth, needing to make up a lot of ground in the season’s final month. It’s been the pitching staff that has weighed this team down, owning a 4.54 ERA, which is 25th in the majors.
The Rays have stayed hot this week and have now won 7 of their last 8 games. Tampa Bay hasn’t allowed more than 4 runs in a game since Aug. 27, a streak of 8 straight games.
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Red Sox at Rays projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Jeffrey Springs
Pivetta (9-10, 4.37 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.
- Left Friday’s start vs. the Texas Rangers after only 3 IP due to a leg injury suffered by a line drive
- Has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 6 starts, but the Red Sox are only 1-5 in those games
Springs (7-4, 2.62 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 106 2/3 IP.
- Shut out the New York Yankees in 5 2/3 IP in Friday start, earning the win in a 9-0 victory with 4 H, 3 BB and 7 K
- Rays are 4-2 in his last 6 starts, a stretch in which he’s allowed 2 or fewer runs 5 times
Red Sox at Rays odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Red Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Rays -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Rays -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Red Sox at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 6, Red Sox 4
Money line
The Rays have owned the Red Sox this season, going 11-4 in 15 meetings. They’ve won 8 straight at home against Boston, with their only home loss to the Red Sox this season coming in their 1st meeting in April.
As much as I like the Rays to complete the sweep and win Wednesday, I don’t love the line of -175. PASS on the ML.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rays covered the spread easily on Tuesday, beating Boston 8-4. They failed to cover on Monday night, but they’re 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games against the Red Sox.
Bet the RAYS -1.5 (+130) to cover the spread and win by a couple of runs.
Over/Under
The total went Under in Game 1 of the series, a 4-3 win by Tampa Bay. Tuesday it easily went Over with 12 total runs scored. Pivetta and Springs have both pitched well lately, but Pivetta can have control issues and the Red Sox rank 6th in MLB in batting average against lefties.
Bet the OVER 7.5 (+110) again Wednesday.
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