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The Boston Red Sox (22-24) and St. Louis Cardinals (20-25) wrap up a 3-game set at Busch Stadium Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET (Roku). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0
The Red Sox are coming off a 7-2 loss as -114 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday with the Over (8.5) hitting. Boston has lost 4 straight games and 11 of 15.
Cardinals 2B Nolan Gorman hit a solo shot in the 2nd and singled home 2 runs as part of a 5-run 8th inning. St. Louis has won 5 of its last 6 games.
Red Sox at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Matthew Liberatore
Pivetta (1-2, 3.48 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 20 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-4 home win in 12 innings vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
- Career vs. Cardinals: 2-1, 3.86 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.02 WHIP in 5 starts — last faced them in 2022
Liberatore (1-1, 4.56 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 16th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 23 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 10-5 win at Los Angeles Angels Monday
- Has never faced Red Sox before
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Red Sox at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Cardinals +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Red Sox at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Cardinals 4
Moneyline
The RED SOX (-115) should be able to avoid the sweep with their advantage at starting pitcher.
The Cardinals had a chance to sweep the Angels in 3 games in their most recent series, and instead, they lost 7-2 as -116 road favorites in the series finale Wednesday. St. Louis is 21st in MLB with a 4.35 ERA and struggles to put together 3-4 consecutive good outings against an opponent.
BET RED SOX (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
Betting a team that has lost 4 straight games to win by 2 or more runs seems aggressive, and the Cardinals +1.5 (-185) is too expensive to take with Liberatore on the mound.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Pivetta has allowed 4 or more earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts, and Liberatore just gave up 4 in 3 1/3 innings against the Angels Monday. Add in the fact the Cardinals have allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4, and there’s a good shot that this Over hits.
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
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