The Boston Red Sox (57-50) and Seattle Mariners (55-52) play the finale of a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park Wednesday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2
The Red Sox snapped a 3-game losing skid with a 6-4 victory over the Mariners Tuesday night. Boston is still 13-7 over the last 20 games and sits 1 1/2 games out of an AL Wild Card spot. The Sox are 27-27 on the road and 12-9 against the AL West this year.
The Mariners have struggled to string together wins but are 6-4 and 11-9 over the last 10 and 20 games, respectively. They sit 3 1/2 games out of an AL Wild Card spot. This will be the last time these teams match up in the regular season. Seattle is 30-26 at home but just 10-13 against the AL East.
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Red Sox at Mariners projected starters
RHP Kutter Crawford vs. RHP Logan Gilbert
Crawford (5-5, 3.86 ERA) makes his 13th start and 21st appearance. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 77 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K on the road against the San Francisco Giants Friday
- 1 career start vs. Mariners: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 7 K June 12, 2022
Gilbert (9-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 124 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K on the road Friday against Arizona Diamondbacks
- 2 career starts vs. Red Sox: 0-0, 3.46, 1.00 WHIP, 13 K in 13 IP
Red Sox at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Red Sox at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
The M’s turn to one of their young guns in Gilbert on the hill. He has pitched pretty well in his 2 career starts against Boston and has a 2.98 ERA over his last 7 turns. Seattle has scored at least 3 runs in 10 straight games and has done so in every game against Boston this year, too. So it really boils down to Gilbert, whose name was tossed around a lot before the trade deadline, settling down and keeping the Red Sox at bay.
I like the MARINERS (-135), and I like LOGAN GILBERT OVER 17.5 OUTS (-160). He has gone 6 IP in both career starts against Boston and 5 of his last 7 outings overall.
Run line/Against the spread
Each game in this matchup has been decided by more than a run this year. Eight of the last 10 have as well. Seattle has the 2nd-best bullpen in baseball with a 3.59 ERA and Crawford has had trouble with 12 homers allowed in 77 IP this year.
I’ll toss a HALF-UNIT on MARINERS -1.5 (+155).
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Over/Under
The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the teams. All 5 games have gone Over this number this year. This number would have cashed in 4 of Crawford’s last 5 starts and it would have cashed in Gilbert’s 2 career starts against Boston.
I’ll take the OVER 7.5 (-120), but if the number hits 8, I’ll steer clear.
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