Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (72-77) and New York Yankees (91-58) meet Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game set at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: New York leads 10-6

Boston is just 5-9 in its last 14 games overall and just 1-4 in its last 5 games against New York.

The Yankees have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games. New York managed a 5-4 victory in 10 innings in Thursday’s opener.

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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters

LHP Rich Hill vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Hill (7-7, 4.70 ERA) has logged a 1.34 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 107 1/3 IP across 23 starts.

  • Has been undone by a .366 batting average on balls in play over his last 5 starts
  • Has allowed just 1 home run in his last 5 turns
  • Has held current New York bats to an aggregate .600 OPS

Cole (12-7, 3.41 ERA) is tabbed for his 31st start. He has notched a 1.03 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 through 182 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 runs in a start at Boston Sept. 13 and owns a 5.28 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Red Sox
  • Has filed a 2.89 ERA and 0.99 WHIP at Yankee Stadium since 2020

Red Sox at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Yankees -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-117) | Yankees -1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Red Sox 3

Money line

Boston is a slight lean, but there isn’t enough earning potential to make it worth a play. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play in more 1-run games than average.

Hill makes this start on 5 days’ rest, which he has leveraged well over the latter years of his career (3.92 ERA on 5-day rest this season). The veteran lefty has a history of fine finishes in September.

TAKE BOSTON +1.5 (-117).

Over/Under

Both starting pitchers have indicators more likable than their surface stats. On a cooled-off autumn evening at Yankee Stadium, there is value in backing the UNDER 7.5 (-112).

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