Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (0-1) and New York Yankees (1-0) continue their season-opening three-game set Saturday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: The Yankees defeated Boston 6-5 in 11 innings Friday. The Red Sox took 10 of 19 games in 2021.

The Red Sox jumped out to an early 3-0 lead but allowed New York to chip away and tie Friday’s game at 4-4 in the eighth. Boston would fall in the 11th to a 3B Josh Donaldson RBI single.

The Yanks bullpen allowed 2 runs (1 earned) in 7 IP Friday. New York batters clubbed 3 HR.

Red Sox at Yankees: Projected starters

RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Luis Severino

Pivetta (9-8, 4.53 ERA in 2021) draws the start in game No. 2 for Boston. He posted a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9, and 10.2 K/9 in 155 IP last season.

  • Had a rocky outing in his lone Yankee Stadium start in 2021 (1 2/3 IP, 7 base runners, 4 ER). Was otherwise tremendous away from home last year, holding opposing batters to a .627 OPS.
  • Current New York batters own an aggregate .817 OPS against him.

Due to injuries and surgery recovery time, Severino pitched just 6 innings last season and has tossed just 18 frames since the end of the 2018 season.

  • Current Boston batters own a .461 OPS against him.

Red Sox at Yankees odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-155) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Red Sox at Yankees prediction and picks

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Yankees 5

Money line

Severino is a question mark, especially with how far he can go in this start. He’s backed by a bullpen that was more spent than Boston’s in yesterday’s 11-inning affair.

Pivetta’s road success and some bounce-back gravity make the RED SOX (+130) the best play in Saturday’s game.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Over/Under

For a second straight day, a double-digit wind blowing out to center is in the forecast. Figure a small-to-moderate lean on the OVER 9.5 (+105).

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