The Boston Red Sox (39-36) and Minnesota Twins (37-38) meet Thursday to cap off a 4-game series. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox at Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 4-2
Boston won the 1st 2 games to push their winning streak to 6 before losing 5-4 in 10 innings on Wednesday.
The Twins are 2-5 with a 6.05 ERA over their last 7 games. On offense, Minnesota has logged a high-strikeout .660 OPS since June 2.
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Red Sox at Twins projected starters
RHP Justin Garza vs. RHP Joe Ryan
Garza (0-1, 3.46 ERA) is making his 1st start of the season after 12 relief appearances. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 13 innings.
- Serving as an opener; likely to be followed by LHP Brandon Walter who would be making his MLB debut
- Threw 2 scoreless frames against Minnesota on Monday
Ryan (7-4, 3.30 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 84 2/3 innings.
- Allowed 6 R last time out and has a 4.20 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Has given the Twins 6-plus innings in 3 straight starts
- Makes this start on 5 days’ rest; over his career has been better on 4-day rest
Red Sox at Twins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Red Sox +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Twins -174 (bet $174 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-146) | Twins -1.5 (+122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Red Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 7, Red Sox 6
Moneyline
The Boston pitching plan makes for a lot of gray area in this matchup, The BoSox offense has played well enough of late (.911 OPS last 8 games) to make a PASS the wisest play (non-play) for this series finale.
Run line/Against the spread
Some bettors partial to Minnesota’s better pitching options may be tempted by the idea of Twins action on the run line. But both teams play more 1-run games than average, and this price is not too competitive. AVOID.
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Over/Under
The Over is 8-2 in Minnesota’s last 10 games and 9-1 across the last 10 series contests (13-2-1 last 16).
Both offenses figure as a tad undercooked (underlying numbers that point to higher runs-per-game averages). Boston’s bulk hurler, Brandon Walter, owns a 6.28 ERA, 1.67 WHIP at Triple-A this season.
Both bullpens have some fatigue-not-likely-available situations to work around.
On what figures as a warmed-up weather day in Minneapolis, BACK THE OVER 9 (-102).
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