The Boston Red Sox (39-35) and Minnesota Twins (36-38) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 4-1
The Red Sox won 10-4 as +111 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday. Boston has won 6 straight contests and is 5th in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays.
The Twins closed as -120 favorites in Tuesday’s loss. Minnesota has lost 5 of its last 6 contests and leads the AL Central by just 1 game.
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Red Sox at Twins projected starters
RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Sonny Gray
Whitlock (4-2, 4.38 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 39 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-3 win vs. Colorado Rockies last Wednesday
- Red Sox are 4-0 in his last 4 starts
- Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 0 HR, 2 BB, 11 K in 4 relief appearances
Gray (4-1, 2.37 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 76 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 8-4 loss vs. Detroit Tigers Thursday
- Twins have lost in 6 of his last 8 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 1-7, 6.29 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 56 H, 7 HR, 16 BB, 45 K in 10 starts and 1 relief appearance
Red Sox at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
Minnesota is 5-1 in its last 6 contests after losing the first 2 games of a series. While the Twins have lost in 6 of Gray’s last 8 starts, he has only recorded 1 loss and has been solid in June (3.45 ERA across 3 starts).
Boston is just 1-4 in its last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record and should regress toward the mean after an impressive 6-game win streak.
BET TWINS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox have won 6 straight and their last 2 losses have both been by just 1 run. But there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Twins ML is the better play. Bet Minnesota ML and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Under is 9-3 in Boston’s last 12 games after scoring 5 or more runs in its previous contest. Gray has not allowed more than 3 ER in a game all season and should help keep this matchup low-scoring as Boston’s offense comes back down to Earth after scoring 19 runs in the 1st 2 games of the series.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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