The Los Angeles Angels (27-28) host the Boston Red Sox (27-27) Monday at Angel Stadium for the start of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Boston enters on a 4-game win streak and is 6-4 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games. However, all 3 of the Red Sox’s opponents over those 10 games (Oakland Athletics, Cincinnati Reds and Baltimore Orioles) are last-place teams in their respective divisions.
L.A. has lost 11 consecutive games, which includes 3 straight series sweeps by the Toronto Blue Jays (home), New York Yankees (road) and Philadelphia Phillies (road).
Season series: The Angels lead 2-1 with a plus-9 run differential in those meetings.
Red Sox at Angels projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard
Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP over 8 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 2-1, Tuesday at home vs. the Reds with 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER (1 R), 3 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
- 2022 vs. the Angels: One start — a 4-0 home win May 3 — with 5 2/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 2 BB and 2 K.
Syndergaard is 4-3 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP across 8 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 9-1, Tuesday at the Yankees with 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 0 K.
- 2022 vs. the Red Sox: One start — a 4-0 loss in Boston May 3 —with 7 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
Red Sox at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Red Sox -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Angels -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+155) | Angels +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Red Sox at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 8, Red Sox 4
Money line
BET the ANGELS (-117).
L.A.’s 11-game losing skid obviously makes this a buy-low spot for the Angels who have edges over the Red Sox in the starting pitching matchup and hitting against righties.
Wacha’s impressive basic numbers are due for regression because he has a crazy-low .198 BABIP with whiff and chase rates that grade in the 19th percentile or worse, per Statcast.
Syndergaard has been inconsistent this season but has a lower FIP than Wacha. The most utilized pitch in Syndergaard’s arsenal is his sinker, which is also one of the most effective pitches in baseball.
L.A.’s lineup ranks ahead of Boston’s vs. right-handed pitching in wRC+ (112-106) and wOBA (.322-.319), according to FanGraphs.
More than 70% of the money is on the Red Sox at the time of writing (per Pregame.com) partially due to the Angels’ current losing streak. However, L.A.’s last 3 opponents were projected preseason to contend in their respective division races while Boston’s last three opponents are last-place teams. Both the Angels and Syndergaard are due for bounce-back performances back in L.A.
BET the ANGELS (-117).
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Run line/Against the spread
SPRINKLE on the ANGELS -1.5 (+160) ALTERNATE RL.
Syndergaard is 3-0 SU at home with a 0.86 home ERA and 0.86 home WHIP and all 3 of those wins were by at least 2 runs. Also, Wacha’s ERA and WHIP are worse on the road and neither bullpen is any good.
Over/Under
PASS.
The Under 9.5 (-130) is a no-go because both bullpens are unreliable and both lineups have sluggers.
The Over 9.5 (+105) is a stay-away since Red Sox-Angels are 2-6-2 O/U in their last 10 meetings, Boston is 2-5 O/U in Wacha’s 7 starts and L.A. is 9-12-2 O/U as a home favorite.
PASS.
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