The Los Angeles Angels (42-42) host the Boston Red Sox (54-32) Tuesday in the second game of their three-game set at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Boston won Game 1 of the series 5-4; Red Sox 3B Rafael Devers‘ 3-for-5 night with 1 home run and 5 RBIs helped power the win Monday.
Season series: Red Sox lead 3-1.
RHP Nathan Eovaldi makes his 18th start for the Red Sox. He is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA (97 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this season.
- Last outing: Win, 15-1, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 6 K Thursday against the Kansas City Royals.
- vs. Angels on the current roster: 116 at-bats with a .276/.320/.371 slash line, 20/6 K/BB, 0 HR and 6 RBIs.
RHP Shohei Ohtani takes the hill for the Angels. He is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA (60 IP, 24 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 over 12 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision with 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 1 K in L.A.’s 11-8 win at the New York Yankees Wednesday.
- 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.73 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.27 WHIP and 2.3 K/BB rate across seven starts.
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Red Sox at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Angels -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | Angels +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Angels 4, Red Sox 3
Money line (ML)
GIMME the ANGELS (-105) for 1 unit because L.A.’s lineup mashes at Angel Stadium whereas Boston’s lineup is a shade less productive away from Fenway Park.
The Angels lineup ranks in the top five of the majors at home in advanced hitting categories including wRC+, wOBA, OPS and hard-contact rate.
Furthermore, I’m anticipating a bounce-back performance from Ohtani after he was shelled in his previous start. He also pitches well at home.
Ohtani had a quality start in four of five games prior to the rough outing against the Yankees, and he hadn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in a start since April 26.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because Boston has the fourth-highest cover rate on the road at 26-16 ATS and L.A. is just 20-24 ATS at home.
Given these location-based run line records, Angels +1.5 (-165) is too rich for my blood.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to the UNDER 8 (+100) for a quarter unit only because we are getting the worst of the number as Red Sox-Angels opened with a 9.5-run total before the market steamed it down to the current price.
However, the Under is the play for me because it cashed in three of four Red Sox-Angels meetings this season and the Under is getting a vast majority of the action despite L.A. being 29-15 O/U at home.
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