The Boston Red Sox (60-61) and Baltimore Orioles (62-58) meet Sunday night at 7:10 p.m. ET in a special game — the Little League Classic — at Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pa. (ESPN). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Baltimore leads 6-5
The Red Sox are just 18-30 since June 27. Included in that stretch is a 9-16 mark in road games. Boston has been better against lefty starters; against right-handed starters the Red Sox are just 43-51.
The Orioles are a solid 16-12 since the All-Star break. Baltimore has not won a season series from Boston since 2017.
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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Pivetta (9-9, 4.28 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 136 2/3 IP.
- Facing a lefty-heavy Baltimore lineup: has yielded a .755 OPS against left-handed bats
- Owns a 5.94 ERA in his last 7 starts
Kremer (5-4, 3.58 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 70 1/3 IP.
- Struggled against Boston 2 starts back. The Red Sox own a high-contact .743 OPS in their last 7 games away from home
- Has been hurt by a .324 batting average on balls in play
Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+140) | Orioles +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)
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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Orioles 4
Money line
Kremer is a fly-ball pitcher who is likely too far out over his skies with a home runs/fly balls rate of 7.8%. And the Orioles hurler has been yielding more frequent hard contact of late.
Boston is the lean, but only an actionable play at -115 or better. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread
Both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Sox by with a multi-run cushion.
Take Boston -1.5 since the price has reached +140.
Over/Under
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-120). We’re fading Kremer and both bullpens here.
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