The Boston Red Sox (59-61) and Baltimore Orioles (62-57) meet Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Baltimore leads 6-4
The Red Sox lost a slugfest of a series opener, falling 15-10 Friday. Boston has now coughed up 23 runs over its last 2 games, and eyebrows are raised because the club has yielded runs in bunches too many times this season. Just recently, the Sox have had 2 such stretches: they allowed 7.3 runs per game from Aug. 3-9 and 10.4 RPG from July 16-27.
Baltimore had scored just 2.83 runs per game — while batting .179/.249/.267 (.516 OPS) over its 12 games before Friday’s 15-run outburst. The Orioles are a solid 16-11 since the All-Star break.
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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters
RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Wacha (7-1, 2.44 ERA) has logged a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 77 1/3 IP and 14 starts.
- Tossed 7 shutout frames against the New York Yankees Sunday and owns a 2.13 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Baltimore lineup; has yielded an .477 OPS vs. left-handed bats in 2022 and a .662 OPS against them in his career
Bradish (1-4, 6.38 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 66 1/3 IP.
- Has notched a 4.05 ERA over his last 4 starts
- Has allowed 9 runs (8 earned) over 7 2/3 IP against Boston this season
Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+130) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Orioles 4
Money line
Baltimore is a solid team at home (34-22), but Boston has been decent on the road (30-31), and the Red Sox had some positive momentum going before Friday
Bradish is a 25-year-old rookie that has been running into a lot of hard contact. He’s coming off 96 pitches in his last effort. After 5 previous 90-plus games, he has allowed 24 ER in 20 IP.
BACK BOSTON (-125).
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Run line/Against the spread
Both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Crimson Hose by with a multi-run cushion.
PASS on the current tag, but take Boston -1.5 should the price reach +140.
Over/Under
Peg Wacha as being overrated by a .234 batting average on balls in play. Some double-barrel mound trouble would not be a surprise in this one.
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110) on what figures as a 90-degree day with a batter’s breeze bowing out to left-center.
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