Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (59-61) and Baltimore Orioles (62-57) meet Saturday at 4:05 p.m. ET in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox at Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Baltimore leads 6-4

The Red Sox lost a slugfest of a series opener, falling 15-10 Friday. Boston has now coughed up 23 runs over its last 2 games, and eyebrows are raised because the club has yielded runs in bunches too many times this season. Just recently, the Sox have had 2 such stretches: they allowed 7.3 runs per game from Aug. 3-9 and 10.4 RPG from July 16-27.

Baltimore had scored just 2.83 runs per game — while batting .179/.249/.267 (.516 OPS) over its 12 games before Friday’s 15-run outburst. The Orioles are a solid 16-11 since the All-Star break.

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Red Sox at Orioles projected starters

RHP Michael Wacha vs. RHP Kyle Bradish

Wacha (7-1, 2.44 ERA) has logged a 1.05 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 77 1/3 IP and 14 starts.

  • Tossed 7 shutout frames against the New York Yankees Sunday and owns a 2.13 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • Figures to see a lot of lefty bats in the Baltimore lineup; has yielded an .477 OPS vs. left-handed bats in 2022 and a .662 OPS against them in his career

Bradish (1-4, 6.38 ERA) is tabbed for his 15th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 66 1/3 IP.

  • Has notched a 4.05 ERA over his last 4 starts
  • Has allowed 9 runs (8 earned) over 7 2/3 IP against Boston this season

Red Sox at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+130) | Orioles +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 4

Money line

Baltimore is a solid team at home (34-22), but Boston has been decent on the road (30-31), and the Red Sox had some positive momentum going before Friday

Bradish is a 25-year-old rookie that has been running into a lot of hard contact. He’s coming off 96 pitches in his last effort. After 5 previous 90-plus games, he has allowed 24 ER in 20 IP.

BACK BOSTON (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

Both teams play a lot of close games, so there is some risk in getting the Crimson Hose by with a multi-run cushion.

PASS on the current tag, but take Boston -1.5 should the price reach +140.

Over/Under

Peg Wacha as being overrated by a .234 batting average on balls in play. Some double-barrel mound trouble would not be a surprise in this one.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110) on what figures as a 90-degree day with a batter’s breeze bowing out to left-center.

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