The Boston Red Sox (21-16) and Atlanta Braves (25-11) wrap up a 2-game series on Wednesday at Truist Park in Atlanta. First pitch will be at 7:20 p.m. ET as the Braves go for their 4th straight win. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 1-0
After ripping off 8 straight wins, the Red Sox have dropped their last 2 games, including Tuesday’s 9-3 loss to the Braves. They’ve been outscored 15-4 in their last 2 losses, but they still rank 3rd in MLB in batting average (.270) and runs scored (211). It’s their pitching that has failed them, ranking 26th in team ERA (4.97).
The Braves have won 6 of their last 7 games and sit 7.5 games ahead of everyone else in the NL East. Only 4 teams have scored more runs than Atlanta has (197) and the Braves’ team ERA of 3.48 ranks 6th in baseball.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves projected starters
RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Max Fried
Bello (1-1, 5.71 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings.
- After struggling in his 1st 2 starts of the season (8 ER in 7 1/3 innings), he has bounced back nicely with 2 solid starts
- In his last 2 outings, has allowed just 3 ER in 10 IP, with 3 BB, 11 K
Fried (2-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 26 innings.
- Lost last start Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles: 6 IP, 8 H, 7 R (5 ER), 2 BB, 7 K in 9-4 loss
- Is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in 1 career start vs. Red Sox
Red Sox at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
The Braves are hot right now, winning 6 of their last 7 games and pulling way ahead in the NL East. The Red Sox have cooled off a bit after breaking off 8 straight wins, and now with Bello on the bump, they could drop their 3rd straight.
The Braves are only 10-8 at home this season but they’ve won 8 of their last 10 at Truist Park. BET BRAVES (-160) to win outright Wednesday.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the Braves’ last 6 wins, 4 of them have been by at least 3 runs, with 3 of those victories being by 6 runs or more. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have been outscored by 11 runs in their last 2 games and their bats have gone cold after an 8-game streak with at least 5 runs scored.
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120) to cover the run line.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The Over/Under is on the higher end, even before knowing the Braves would trot out Fried as their starter. Both of these teams have strong lineups that are pushing runs across at a high rate, but 10 is a big number.
I would LEAN UNDER 10 (-110) in this matchup.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]