The Boston Red Sox (10-19) head to Truist Park Tuesday to start a 2-game interleague miniseries with the Atlanta Braves (14-16). First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Boston has lost 5 consecutive games, 3 to the Chicago White Sox and 2 to the Los Angeles Angels, and is 2-8 overall in the last 10 games with 6 straight series losses.
Atlanta won its 3-game series rubber match vs. the Milwaukee Brewers 9-2 Sunday, but is just 5-5 overall in the last 10 games.
The Red Sox won last year’s season series 3-1, outscoring the Braves 30-24 in those 4 games.
Red Sox at Braves projected starters
RHP Garrett Whitlock vs. RHP Kyle Wright
Whitlock is 1-1 with a 1.25 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP over 3 starts and 4 relief appearances.
- Got a no decision in Boston’s 10-5 loss to the Angels Wednesday, working 5 IP with 2 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 9 K.
Wright is 3-1 with a 1.74 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 31 IP in 5 starts.
- Lost to the New York Mets 3-0 May 3, throwing 7 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
Red Sox at Braves odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Braves -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Braves -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Red Sox 1
Money line
LEAN BRAVES (-145) only because there’s some reverse line movement headed towards the Red Sox (+120). According to VegasInsider.com, Atlanta’s ML was lowered to -140 despite nearly three-fourths of the action being on the Braves before it returned to -145.
Atlanta has the better starter, lineup and bullpen. Wright is FanGraphs’ no. 8 power-ranked starter in MLB, Boston’s lineup has the third-worst WAR in the majors and the Red Sox’s bullpen is tied for the third-worst WAR, per FanGraphs.
Boston is 8-13 overall vs. right-handed starters and the Red Sox’s lineup is bottom-6 in wRC+, wOBA, BB/K rate and hard-hit rate.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS since the Braves -1.5 (+155) are 5-10 RL as home favorites with a minus-1.9 RL margin and the Red Sox +1.5 (-190) are 7-3 RL as road underdogs with a plus-1.0 RL margin.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-125) only because we are getting to the party late on the Under since the total has been lowered from an 8.5-run opener down to the current number.
But, Boston cannot hit right-handed pitching and is scoring just 2.9 runs per game while Atlanta is scoring only 3.93 runs per game vs. righties. Also, these starters have a combined 1-7 O/U record.
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