Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Celtics at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The top-seeded Boston Celtics battle the 8th-seeded Miami Heat in Game 3 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Saturday. The series is tied 1-1. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Boston was upset 111-101 against the Heat in Game 2 Wednesday while failing to cover as a 14-point home favorite. G Jaylen Brown scored a game-high 33 points, while only 2 other Celtics players scored in double figures. The Celtics shot 46.3% from the field in the loss.

G Tyler Herro scored a team-high 24 points on 6 of 11 from 3, while all 5 Heat starters scored in double figures. The Heat shot 49.3% from the field in the win.

Celtics at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Celtics -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Heat +333 (bet $100 to win $333)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -9.5 (-110) | Heat +9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 204.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Celtics at Heat key injuries

Celtics

  • None

Heat

  • F Jimmy Butler (knee) out
  • F Haywood Highsmith (arm) available
  • F Kevin Love (arm) available
  • F Duncan Robinson (back) available
  • G Terry Rozier (neck) out
  • G Delon Wright (personal reasons) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Celtics at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 109, Heat 103

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the top-ranked Celtics (-450), who are 27-14 on the road this season, to take down the Heat, who are 23-19 at home.

Against the spread

LEAN HEAT +9.5 (-110).

Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games, including 2-1 ATS in its last 3 as an underdog, while Boston is just 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10. With the Heat stealing a game on the road, expect them to keep it close in Game 3.

Over/Under

BET OVER 204.5 (-105).

Both the Celtics and Heat have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games, including the 1st 2 in this series.

Boston has scored 101 or more points in 9 of its last 10 games, including 114 or more in 6 of its last 10.

Miami has scored 111 or more points in 7 of its last 10 games. With this low of a total, hammer the Over.

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