Behind Enemy Lines: Previewing NFC championship with Packers Wire

Zach Kruse of the Packers Wire chats with us about the NFC championship and offers his prediction on the game.

The 49ers blew out the Packers in Week 12, and Green Bay hasn’t lost since. Now the teams square off Sunday at Levi’s Stadium in the NFC championship game.

Green Bay, at least in the win column, is a dramatically different team than the one the 49ers faced at the end of November.

To get a better gauge on where they’re at ahead of Sunday, we chatted with Zach Kruse of the Packers Wire. He answered a few questions for us and offered a prediction on how he thinks it’ll go:

Niners Wire: The 49ers did a nice job limiting Davante Adams and Aaron Jones in their Week 12 matchup. If that happens again, who do the Packers lean on offensively?

Zach Kruse: Good question. It’s a capable but limited supporting cast after Adams and Jones, the offense’s two stars. Veteran tight end Jimmy Graham made three big catches last week, receiver Allen Lazard has been a sparkplug at times over the final two months of the season and backup running back Jamaal Williams can grind yards as both a runner and receiver. An extreme wildcard is Marquez Valdes-Scantling, the fastest pass-catcher of the bunch and a potential big-play threat if he can somehow finally get on the same page as Aaron Rodgers. I’ll say this: If Adams and Jones are both shut down again, it’s hard to see the Packers scoring enough points to win. They’ll need their stars to make big plays.

NW: It looked like Aaron Rodgers played his best game of the year in the divisional round despite not putting up huge numbers. Is he hitting his stride at the right time, or was that just a matter of the Seahawks making mistakes?

ZK: Level of competition must be considered, but there were encouraging signs coming out of last week’s win. Rodgers played from the pocket, threw decisively and on time, confidently attacked down the field and made big throws in clutch situations. It really was one of his best performances of the entire season. There was extreme confidence in the gameplan and a synergy with the playcaller, Matt LaFleur. Is it sustainable for another week? Rodgers and LaFleur spent the bye week finding concepts they liked from the season and trimming stuff that didn’t work, so it’s possible a refined plan will keep Rodgers playing at a high level. He’s gotten hot before, and maybe the offense’s vision is finally starting to come together. The 49ers will put all that to the ultimate test on Sunday.

NW: Za’Darius and Preston Smith headline the Packers defense, but who’s another player on that side of the ball who needs to show up Sunday for Green Bay?

ZK: I know you asked for just one, but I’m going to give you a couple. Defensive lineman Kenny Clark is a highly disruptive player and could have an advantage over the interior of the 49ers’ offensive line. He’ll be important for stopping the run and creating inside pressure. The Packers also need mistake-free games from linebacker Blake Martinez, cornerback Kevin King and safety Adrian Amos. The 49ers are going to stress all three to cover across the middle of the field. The one potential difference maker? Cornerback Jaire Alexander. He’s one of the best and most competitive young cornerbacks in football. He feels due for a breakout performance. The Packers will likely need a game-turning defensive play at some point, and Alexander could be the provider.

NW: If you were the 49ers’ offensive coordinator, who’s the one player on Green Bay’s defense you’d try and go after?

ZK: Probably linebacker Blake Martinez. He’s a tackle machine, but teams can get chunk plays in the run game by getting linemen to the second level and getting a hat on Martinez, who doesn’t take on or shed blocks well. If the 49ers are consistently getting a blocker in his face, they’ll run for a bunch of yards. He’s also beatable in man coverage and unthreatening while playing zone. The Packers give up big plays against the run and pass in part because they’re really average at inside linebacker. Expect Kyle Shanahan to really stress Martinez to play gap-sound against the run and assignment-sound covering the middle of the field.

NW: How’s this game go, and what’s the final score?

ZK: I’m confident this game won’t be 23-0 at halftime. The gamescript should be far more favorable for the visitors but there’s no denying who the more complete team is. The 49ers stress teams in so many ways. The offense is cutting edge and hard to defend, the defense is fast and talented at all three levels and the special teams can create big plays. The Packers really need to play a near-perfect game to pull off the upset. If they play to their strengths (pass protection, pass rushing, turnover differential and in the red zone) and Rodgers is effective and clutch, I expect the Packers to be right in it late with a chance to win the game. But it’s too difficult to pick against the 49ers in the rematch, especially with all the returning talent on defense. The Packers hang in there but fall late to the superior football team. 49ers 23, Packers 18