The Baltimore Ravens (1-1) look to bounce back from a Week 2 collapse when they face the underwhelming New England Patriots (1-1) Sunday. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ravens vs. Patriots odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Ravens come into this one after losing 42-38 to the Miami Dolphins last weekend. Baltimore led Miami 35-14 early in the 4th quarter but it allowed 21 unanswered points to tie the game and eventually lost on a 7-yard touchdown with 14 seconds left. The Ravens are now a half-game back of the Cleveland Browns in the AFC North following a Browns’ victory on Thursday Night Football.
The Patriots barely got by the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, beating them 17-14 on the road. New England had 376 yards compared to only 243 for Pittsburgh, but the Patriots struggled to put points on the board. QB Mac Jones has 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions through 2 weeks, totaling 465 yards through the air.
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Ravens at Patriots odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:15 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Ravens -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Patriots +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
- Against the spread (ATS): Ravens -2.5 (-120) | Patriots +2.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Ravens at Patriots key injuries
Ravens
- RB J.K. Dobbins (knee) questionable
- WR Devin Duvernay (concussion) questionable
- CB Marlon Humphrey (groin) questionable
- OL Ronnie Stanley (ankle) questionable
Patriots
- S Kyle Dugger (knee) questionable
- DL Davon Godchaux (back) questionable
- WR Jakobi Meyers (knee) questionable
- CB Jalen Mills (hamstring) questionable
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Ravens at Patriots picks and predictions
Prediction
Ravens 24, Patriots 17
Money line
This line almost feels too good to be true. The Patriots have looked shaky, particularly on offense, scoring just 24 points in 2 games against the Dolphins and Steelers. They barely beat Pittsburgh last week and got beat by 13 points by the Dolphins in their opener.
The Ravens easily beat the New York Jets in Week 1 and should’ve crushed the Dolphins but they blew a 21-point 4th-quarter lead.
I like the RAVENS (-145) a lot in this matchup.
Against the spread
The Ravens are only favored by 2.5 points, which feels like a low number and a reaction to Week 2’s results: a blown lead by Baltimore and a sloppy win by New England.
These teams have alternated ATS wins in each of their last 8 meetings, with the Patriots covering in their last matchup in 2020. Naturally, it’s the Ravens’ turn to cover.
Give me the RAVENS -2.5 (-120) to win by at least a field goal.
Over/Under
The total has gone Over in 4 of the last 5 games between these teams, but it went under in a 23-17 win by the Patriots in 2020. Bill Belichick typically knows how to limit an opponent’s best player, so QB Lamar Jackson could be held in check a bit.
I see a lower-scoring game. LEAN toward the UNDER 43.5 (-105).
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