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The Baltimore Orioles (1-0) and Toronto Blue Jays (0-1) continue their season-opening 4-game series on Friday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m (Apple+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 1-0
The Orioles came out swinging Thursday in their season opener, crushing the Blue Jays 12-2. Baltimore launched 6 home runs, including 2 each from OF Cedric Mullins (5 RBIs) and C Adley Rutschman (3 RBIs). OF Tyler O’Neill and 3B Jordan Westburg also went deep in a dominant offensive showing.
The revamped Blue Jays didn’t get the start they wanted, falling as a -114 home favorite as the Over (8.5) easily cashed. SP Jose Berrios struggled, allowing 6 ER on 9 hits over 5 innings. Toronto’s only offense came from a 2-run HR by newly acquired 2B Andres Gimenez.
Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Charlie Morton vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
Morton (8-10, 4.19 ERA) made 30 starts for the Atlanta Braves in 2024. He had a 1.33 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 165 1/3 IP.
- 2024 road stats: 3-4, 4.75 ERA (72 IP, 38 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-2, 4.01 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 9 starts
Gausman (14-11, 3.83 ERA) made 31 starts last season and had a 1.22 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 181 IP.
- 2024 home stats: 6-6, 5.02 ERA (95 IP, 53 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 16 starts
- 2024 vs. Orioles: 1-1, 5.02 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 in 2 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 2-4, 4.75 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 7 starts
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Orioles at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Orioles +1.5 (-200) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 7, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (+110).
Baltimore as an underdog won’t come around often this season, making it hard to pass up. The Orioles made a statement on Opening Day, proving their offense can take over games even if the pitching isn’t dominant.
Morton makes his debut for Baltimore, and while he’s not overpowering, he’s shown the ability to limit Toronto’s offense. If he can keep them to 4 runs or fewer, that should be enough to give the Orioles a solid chance to win.
Meanwhile, Gausman struggled against Baltimore last season, posting a 5.02 ERA. The Blue Jays also haven’t faced Morton since 2021, which could make it tough to adjust early in the game.
The Orioles’ bats looked great on Thursday and it’s hard not to like them to keep rolling on Friday evening. I like Baltimore to start their season 2-0.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like Baltimore in a big way on Friday, so I’m not touching the run line.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-105).
Four of the last 5 meetings between these teams have hit at least 9 runs, and there’s a good chance that trend continues.
While Thursday’s game was an offensive blowout, this matchup also has plenty of scoring potential. Gausman struggled against Baltimore last season, with both of his starts against them going Over this number. With these lineups and pitching matchup, expect another high-scoring game. Take the Over.
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