Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (66-41) and Toronto Blue Jays (59-49) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 7-1

The Orioles won 13-3 as +105 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday. Baltimore has won 3 straight contests and has a 1½-game lead over the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East.

The Blue Jays have dropped 3 straight contests for the 1st time since June 30-July 2. Toronto is 3rd in the AL East, 7½ games back of the Orioles.

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Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi

Rodriguez (2-2, 6.21 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1-0 home win vs. New York Yankees Friday
  • Road stats: 1-0, 4.91 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 16 ER) in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 road win in 10 innings May 20

Kikuchi (8-3, 3.79 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 109 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 8-1 win at Los Angeles Dodgers last Wednesday
  • Home stats: 4-2, 3.69 ERA (46 1/3 IP, 19 ER) in 9 starts
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-5, 6.00 ERA (39 IP, 26 ER) in 7 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • 2023 vs. Orioles: 0-1, 4.82 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts – Most recent: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road loss June 15

Orioles at Blue Jays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

The Blue Jays are playing some of their worst baseball of the season and have dropped 3 straight games as home favorites. Kikuchi has given up a total of just 3 runs (2 earned) in his last 3 starts, but has been inconsistent this year and still owns a 3.91 ERA in July through 5 starts.

The Orioles are 5-0 in Rodriguez’s last 5 starts and have owned Toronto this season. I just don’t see the Blue Jays bouncing back Wednesday, especially since they’re 7-22 vs. the AL East on the year.

BET ORIOLES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

Baltimore +1.5 (-190) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Orioles should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Orioles are averaging 8.7 runs over their last 3 contests and the Over has hit in 3 of their last 4 games. The Over is 17-11-1 when the Blue Jays play the AL East and should cash again Wednesday with 2 inconsistent pitchers on the mound.

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

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