The Baltimore Orioles (45-45) and the Tampa Bay Rays (50-40) continue their 3-game series Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tampa Bay leads 6-4
The Orioles’ improbable winning streak ended at 10 last night in Tampa Bay. After taking a 2-0 lead, the Rays chipped away and finished the 6th inning with 3 straight doubles and a home run by PH Christian Bethancourt.
The Orioles nearly made a comeback when 3B Ramon Urias homered in the 8th inning, his second of the day, cutting the deficit to 1. Baltimore, however, couldn’t get a hit in the 9th and lost 5-4.
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Orioles at Rays projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Ryan Yarbrough
Kremer (3-1, 2.15 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 37 2/3 IP.
- Pitched 6 innings and gave up 0 runs in his last game against Tampa Bay.
- Hasn’t given up a home run outside of Camden Yards this year.
Yarbrough (0-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 34 IP.
- Activated after 3 weeks on the injured list for groin tightness
- His last start was the worst of the season, giving up 6 R, 8 H, and 0 SO in 1 2/3 IP.
Orioles at Rays odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Orioles +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Rays -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-205) | Rays -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Orioles at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Rays 3
Money line
LEAN ORIOLES (+102)
Kremer has been on a tear lately. He has posted a 1.62 ERA with just a .306 SLG against him in his past 6 starts.
On the flip side, Yarbrough has struggled in 2022. He will need more than the 3 runs of support he usually gets for the Rays to win.
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Run line/Against the spread
The past 5 games between the Orioles and Rays have been 1-run games. And the Orioles feast on the run line. They cover 64% of the time, which leads MLB.
The Orioles’ RL is too expensive, but they have the edge in starting pitching. Let’s LEAN ORIOLES +0.5 (-140) FIRST 5 INNINGS, which will give us a cushion in the event of a tie.
Over/Under.
After a loss, the Orioles hit the Under 58% of the time. And the Rays hold the 3rd-best Under rate in MLB when playing divisional opponents at 59%.
But the line is just 7.5, and Yarbrough alone has a 7.24 ERA in his past 3 starts. The Orioles may hit this line alone if Yarbrough can’t turn things around.
PASS
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