The Baltimore Orioles (31-62) and Tampa Bay Rays (55-39) play the second game of a three-game set at Tropicana Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP John Means is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA and 0.83 WHIP with 8.7 K/9 and 1.6 BB over 71 IP across 12 starts.
Means allowed 4 earned runs, 6 hits and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts across 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Rays in his previous outing May 19 at Camden Yards.
LHP Shane McClanahan is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 3-3 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 across 60 IP spanning 13 starts.
McClanahan allowed just 1 run, 4 hits and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts across 4 innings last time out against the Blue Jays July 9 in a no-decision.
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Orioles at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:18 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Rays -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-125) | Rays -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Rays 4, Orioles 2
Money line (ML)
The Rays (-200) will cost you two times your potential return. Monday’s series-opening win by the Orioles served as a cautionary tale of why you never play heavy favorites on the money line.
AVOID, and look to the run line instead.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The RAYS -1.5 (+105) are less risky on the run line. Despite Monday’s egg-laying, they’re still 7-4 against the run line across their last 11 games, including four covers as favorites.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 8 (-105) is the play yet again. It cashed in Monday’s series opener, and the Under is now 6-2-1 across the past nine meetings in St. Petersburg.
The Under is 5-1-1 in Baltimore’s last seven games on astroturf, while the Under is 4-0 in Tampa Bay’s last five games as a favorite, and 11-4-1 in its last 16 at home against a left-handed starter. The Under is also a perfect 6-0 across the Rays’ last six divisional games.
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