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The Baltimore Orioles (29-16) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (21-26) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cardinals lead 1-0
The O’s were throttled Monday night in a 6-3 loss. They scored 3 runs, but they reached on 2 consecutive Cardinals errors before SS Gunnar Henderson hit a 3-run homer in the 6th inning. That was just 1 of 3 hits for Baltimore in the game. The O’s are still 6-4 over their last 10 games and sit 2 games behind the New York Yankees in the AL East.
The Cardinals had traffic on the bases early with runners on 1st and 2nd, no outs, and the heart of the order up in the 1st inning. The result was pop out, fly out (runner advanced to 3rd base) and fly out. They do this all the time, but things changed in the 4th when CF Michael Siani received a gift. What should have been called strike 3 was ruled a ball to keep him alive in the at-bat. The end result was a 3-run homer. In any event, the Cards are 6-2 in their last 8 games and averaging 6.1 runs per game during the stretch.
Orioles at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Lance Lynn
Bradish (0-0, 2.63 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 13 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday
- Career vs. Cardinals: 1-0, 1 start, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 5-3 road win in 2022
Lynn (1-2, 4.17 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-2 setback at Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
- Last 5 starts vs. Orioles: 2-1, 2.51 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 30 K
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Orioles at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Cardinals +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+105) | Cardinals +1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 7, Cardinals 3
Moneyline
Bradish has been fantastic in his 3 starts, allowing just 4 earned runs and striking out 17 in 13 2/3 IP. He was electric in his lone start against St. Louis 2 years ago. The Cards had a little luck on their side to take Monday’s opener, but the O’s should be in the driver’s seat throughout Game 2. Lynn has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 3 straight starts and has walked 2+ in 5 straight.
Take ORIOLES (-155).
Run line/Against the spread
We’re projecting the O’s to cruise here, but the ball has been flying in Busch Stadium. Bradish is also only going 85ish pitches over 5 innings. So, you can take this if you choose. I’m in the long game, and I want more than +105 to incur that risk.
Something that stands out to me, though, is KYLE BRADISH UNDER 2.5 WALKS (-175) — the juice climbed from -155 early Tuesday. He has walked 2 in all 3 of his starts, but he hasn’t walked 3 in a game in his last 8, dating back to last year.
Over/Under
As mentioned, the Cards are scoring 6.1 runs per game over the last 8. Lynn has also allowed at least 4 in his last 3 starts. The Cards are 9-1 O/U in their last 10, and the O’s are 6-3-1 O/U.
What pushes this over the top, though, is it’s slated to be 89 degrees with an 18-mph gust of wind blowing out to left-center. Righties are going to tee off Tuesday night.
Take OVER 9 (-110).
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