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The Baltimore Orioles (47-25) and New York Yankees (51-24) continue their key AL East series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Baltimore leads 3-2
The Orioles had a 4-game road winning streak snapped in a 4-2 loss in Tuesday’s series opener. They went 0-for-5 with runners in scoring position and were held scoreless until RF Anthony Santander hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 9th.
The Yankees snapped a 2-game skid with Tuesday’s triumph. They are looking to get back at Baltimore after a lackluster 1-3 performance at Camden Yards April 29-May 2.
Orioles at Yankees projected starters
LHP Cade Povich vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Povich (0-1, 4.76 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 11 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win vs. Atlanta Braves last Wednesday
- 24-year-old rookie who made his Major League debut June 6; has never faced the Yankees
Cole is making his season debut after being shut down with elbow inflammation during spring training. The reigning AL Cy Young Award winner and 6-time all-star logged a 2.63 ERA in 33 starts last season.
- Allowed just 2 runs (1 ER) on 6 hits in 12 1/3 rehab innings from June 4-14; struck out 19 batters without issuing a walk
- Career vs. Orioles: 5-3, 2.55 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 59 H, 14 BB, 93 K in 12 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Orioles at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
New York is 14-5 in its last 19 and 7-2 across its last 9 at home. In a grind of a schedule with losses against Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies and Yanks, the Orioles are just 2-3 over their last 5.
Peg the home team as being just a sliver of a lean in this spot with a rookie hurler going against a veteran making an injury-delayed June debut. A shaved-down partial-unit play would be the best way to limit exposure on a YANKEES (-172) play. That tag is available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Run line/Against the spread
The Under is a lean, and middling this play — taking New York outright and Baltimore plus the cushion — is tempting. But these 2 clubs do not engage in a lot of 1-run games, and again this mound match-up does not warrant too much deliberation. Save those fights for the games with more ammo on either side.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last 9 games when lined as an underdog and is 4-1 across the last 5 Orioles-Yankees games played in the Bronx.
The New York offense is much more dangerous against right-handed pitchers, and Povich has done well to limit hard contact through his 1st few starts. And he may be facing a Yankee lineup sans OF Aaron Judge, who was hit in the hand by a pitch Tuesday.
How much Cole gives New York is a question mark, but if the veteran righty was part of a low score delivered to the bullpens it would not be a major surprise.
BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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