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The Baltimore Orioles (49-35) and New York Yankees (48-38) get together Wednesday for the 3rd game of a 4-game AL East series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 5-3
Baltimore has dropped the first 2 games of this series 8-4 Tuesday and 6-3 Monday and is 1-6 over its last 7 outings. The Orioles are 17-35 across their last 52 meetings with the Yanks in New York.
New York has outscored foes 53-34 while going 7-3 over its last 10 games. The Yankees have won 4 in a row and 6 of their last 8 at home.
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Orioles at Yankees projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Randy Vasquez
Kremer (8-4, 5.04 ERA) is tabbed for his 18th start of the season. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 91 IP.
- Current Yankees own a high-contact .771 OPS against him
- Allowed 2 HR as part of 7 ER over just 3 innings vs. the Minnesota Twis in his last outing on June 30
- Has allowed 7 HR and 11 ER across his last 15 IP spanning 3 starts
Vasquez (1-1, 1.74 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 10 1/3 IP.
- A 24-year-old who made his MLB debut on May 26
- Last 3 starts were at Triple-A as he last pitched for New York on June 6; owns a 5.11 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Scranton
Orioles at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles -118 (bet $118 to win $100) | Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+140) | Yankees +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Orioles at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Orioles 4
Moneyline
Baltimore’s run-scoring and run-prevention numbers are kind, and the win-loss record has the Orioles several games too far out over their skis. But Vasquez going for New York makes for too many questions.
STEER CLEAR.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Yanks are a would-be lean here but you would want a tag closer to -150 on a New York +1.5 play, and this line has moved in the opposite direction in early action.
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Over/Under
The Under is 5-2-1 in the Orioles’ last 8 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and is 8-3-1 in the Yankees’ last 12 home games.
Kremer has been undone by a .326 batting average on balls in play and a 16.% rate of fly balls landing as round-trippers. Both of those figures indicate some likely regression.
Vasquez starting for the Yankees makes for some gray area, but both bullpens are solid.
Back off on the wager size perhaps, but take the UNDER 9 (-104).
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