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The Baltimore Orioles (85-51) and the Los Angeles Angels (64-73) open a 3-game series Monday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 2-2
The first-place Orioles took 2 of 3 games from the Arizona Diamondbacks on the road over the weekend. Baltimore is 11-4 across the past 15 games overall dating back to Aug. 18, including a 5-1 mark on the road.
The Angels tried to make a run at the MLB trade deadline, but they had a brutal August and are now 12 1/2 games out of an AL Wild Card spot. Things hit rock-bottom for Los Angeles with a 3-game sweep at the hands of the already eliminated Oakland Athletics on the road over the weekend.
Orioles at Angels projected starters
RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. LHP Kenny Rosenberg
Rodriguez (4-3, 5.03 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 93 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB and 6 K in 9-0 home win vs. Chicago White Sox last Monday
- 2023 road splits: 2-1, 4.29 ERA (42 IP, 20 ER), 7 HR, .216 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
Rosenberg (0-0, 6.43 ERA) makes his 1st start and 3rd overall appearance. He has a 2.29 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 7 innings.
- Only career start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K in a 4-0 road win vs. the Seattle Mariners on June 19, 2022
- 2023 home splits: 2 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 relief appearance
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Orioles at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Angels +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (-115) | Angels +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Angels 2
The Orioles (-190) look to kick the Angels while they’re down. I like Rodriguez, as he has picked up the pace and is pitching really well lately. Baltimore should be able to get to Rosenberg, who makes his 1st start of 2023, and just the 2nd of his MLB career. Still, I am not comfortable risking nearly 2 times the potential return.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The ORIOLES -1.5 (-115) are a much better value on the run line.
Baltimore outscored Arizona 15-8 in the desert, winning the final 2 games of the weekend series by 3 or more runs in each outing. And in each of the past 4 wins for the O’s since Aug. 28, Baltimore has won by 3 or more runs. If you like the O’s to win, you should like them on the run line, too.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-110) is the lean, but be careful.
The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games overall for the Orioles. However, there is a slight 3-2-1 lean to the Under in G-Rod’s past 6 outings.
The Angels plated just 9 total runs against the lowly A’s over the weekend, and appear checked out. The pitching staff has been gross, allowing 6 or more runs in 5 of the past 6 games, so that’s a concern for Under bettors, but we should still see the total come in short of the number.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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