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The Baltimore Orioles (95-56) and Houston Astros (84-68) meet Wednesday to finish off a 3-game series. First pitch at Minute Maid Park is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 3-2
Baltimore took Monday’s series opener 8-7 and Tuesday’s game 9-5. The Orioles are 18-8 over their last 26 games.
Houston is just 7-10 in September. The Astros head into Wednesday’s action just a half-game ahead of the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers in the chase for the AL West flag.
Orioles at Astros projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Cristian Javier
Bradish (11-7, 3.12 ERA) is tabbed for his 28th start this season. He owns a 1.09 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 152 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home loss vs. Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 7-3, 3.56 ERA in 86 IP across 16 starts
- Career starts vs. Astros: 2-0, 0.00 ERA in 16 2/3 IP (2022)
Javier (9-4, 4.74 ERA) is tabbed for his 29th start this season. He owns a 1.29 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 146 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 H, 3 R (2 ER), 1 BB, 6 K in 4-2 loss at Kansas City Royals Friday
- 2023 home stats: 5-2, 3.86 ERA in 63 IP in 12 starts
- Career starts vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.64 ERA in 11 IP across 2 starts (2022-23)
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Orioles at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Astros -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+155) | Astros +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
There is some fade in Baltimore’s season performance both in its record and its overall batting and pitching lines. However, recent pitching performances in this starter match-up are compelling. Bradish — with his analytically supported 2.59 ERA since Aug. 6 — gives the surging Orioles an edge not reflected in the price.
BACK THE ORIOLES (-105).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. The run line here is adding lots of juice. The return on the moneyline is solid.
Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 6 of the last 7 Baltimore-Houston games, but Bradish changes the equation just enough here. PASS.
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