The Baltimore Orioles (17-8) and Detroit Tigers (9-15) meet Friday in the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch at Comerica Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 4-0
The off-to-a-hot-start Orioles are going to miss the Tigers when this set — and the season series — is wrapped up on Sunday. Baltimore defeated Detroit 7-4 Thursday and has outscored the Tigers 16-7 in the 4 games.
Detroit is 2-6 over its last 8 games. The Bengals have slashed a mere .210/.295/.308 (.604 OPS) over their last 9.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Orioles at Tigers projected starters
RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez
Rodriguez (0-0, 5.12 ERA) is lined up for his 5th start. He’s posted a 1.60 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.
- The 23-year-old rookie is considered Baltimore’s best pitching prospect
- Has not been terribly economical with his pitches, failing to get past 5 IP in his 4 starts
- April 23 vs. Tigers in 2-1 win: 5 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 6 K
Rodriguez (1-2, 2.32 ERA) is tabbed for his 6th start. He has logged a 0.84 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 31 IP.
- Owns a tidy 1.21 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Orioles (2021-22)
- April 23 vs. Orioles in 2-1 loss: 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 6 K and n-decision
- Has allowed just 1 R in his last 21 IP
Orioles at Tigers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Tigers +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+134) | Tigers +1.5 (-162)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Tigers 3
Moneyline
The Orioles have scored 125 runs while allowing 104. That’s not exactly .667-winning-percentage territory. And Baltimore has hoisted those early numbers not just against scuffling Detroit, but against a slate that is weak in terms of opponent quality, opponent batting and opponent pitching. The Os are certainly on the end-of-April fade list.
But that does not mean we should indiscriminately log bets the other way every day. The starting pitcher, bullpen, lefty-righty, and other matchups still provide leverage. In this game, that leverage lifts Baltimore off the fade just enough to slip in a Run Line play. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
BACK DETROIT +1.5 (-162). Consider a partial-unit play unless the price gets down to -155.
This play respects the starters, mostly, for both clubs. The bullpens are a fade for the Os and a play for the Tigers. And Detroit’s bullpen does a better job getting ground balls, which could be key.
Both the Orioles and Tigers have played a lot of 1-run games. There is some holding of the nose in taking Detroit, but the cushion and the price makes for enough value.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The starters and bullpens have criss-crossing production-vs.-expected figures — resulting in green check marks for Rodriguez and the Detroit bullpen, red Xs for Rodriguez and the Baltimore ‘pen … a fade on the overcooked Orioles offense and a 20 mph breeze blowing outward at Comerica Park.
The more threads are pulled, the more they support both sides. So, let’s do the sensible thing and support the middle: PASS.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]