The Baltimore Orioles (16-8) start a 4-game series with the Detroit Tigers (9-14) on Thursday. First pitch from Comerica Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Baltimore leads 3-0
The Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox 6-2 in Maryland on Wednesday to take the series 2-1. Three of Baltimore’s 6 runs were scored by 3B Ramon Urias, who went 4-for-4. As an early hot take, the Orioles look like playoff contenders.
The Tigers lost 6-3 to the Milwaukee Brewers on the road, where Detroit has a 5-10 record. It is April and the Detroit has 139 games to play, but the Tigers of 2023 are looking a lot like the 2022 squad. Detroit did win the series versus the Brewers 2-1.
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Orioles at Tigers projected starters
RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Joey Wentz
Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He’s pitched 30 innings this season, allowing 26 hits and walking 9 with 24 K’s and a 1.16 WHIP.
- Last start: 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 5-1 home victory Saturday against the Tigers
- .964 OPS against left handed batters
Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA) makes his 5th start. Has pitched just 16 2/3 innings, allowing 17 hits and walking 8 with 14 K’s and a 1.50 WHIP.
- Last start: Lost 5-1 to Orioles, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K
- Has not allowed a run against a left-handed batter.
Orioles at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 5, Orioles 4
Moneyline
The Tigers have the fewest runs scored (70) this season, but at home they average 3.63 runs a game, which is on par with the Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees, New York Mets and San Diego Padres. On top of that, the Tigers are 4-4 at home. I’m not saying these splits are great, but they are good enough to see the value of plus-money at home.
LEAN TIGERS +135.
Run line/Against the spread
In the same vein as above, Detroit is a tougher team at home than on the road. And as a home team, Detroit has the 3rd best cover rate in baseball (62.5%). If you want some run support before betting on this Tigers team, I would BET TIGERS +1.5 (-120).
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Over/Under
It definitely is a plus for the Over that these pitchers face the same team in back-to-back starts. Pair that with Baltimore’s 6-4-1 trend to the Over and I see this as a high-scoring game.
LEAN OVER 8 (-105).
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