Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles (16-8) start a 4-game series with the Detroit Tigers (9-14) on Thursday. First pitch from Comerica Park is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 3-0

The Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox 6-2 in Maryland on Wednesday to take the series 2-1. Three of Baltimore’s 6 runs were scored by 3B Ramon Urias, who went 4-for-4. As an early hot take, the Orioles look like playoff contenders.

The Tigers lost 6-3 to the Milwaukee Brewers on the road, where Detroit has a 5-10 record. It is April and the Detroit has 139 games to play, but the Tigers of 2023 are looking a lot like the 2022 squad. Detroit did win the series versus the Brewers 2-1.

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Orioles at Tigers projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP Joey Wentz

Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He’s pitched 30 innings this season, allowing 26 hits and walking 9 with 24 K’s and a 1.16 WHIP.

  • Last start: 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 5-1 home victory Saturday against the Tigers
  • .964 OPS against left handed batters

Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA) makes his 5th start. Has pitched just 16 2/3 innings, allowing 17 hits and walking 8 with 14 K’s and a 1.50 WHIP.

  • Last start: Lost 5-1 to Orioles, 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K
  • Has not allowed a run against a left-handed batter.

Orioles at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Tigers +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+100) | Tigers +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 5, Orioles 4

Moneyline

The Tigers have the fewest runs scored (70) this season, but at home they average 3.63 runs a game, which is on par with the Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees, New York Mets and San Diego Padres. On top of that, the Tigers are 4-4 at home. I’m not saying these splits are great, but they are good enough to see the value of plus-money at home.

LEAN TIGERS +135.

Run line/Against the spread

In the same vein as above, Detroit is a tougher team at home than on the road. And as a home team, Detroit has the 3rd best cover rate in baseball (62.5%). If you want some run support before betting on this Tigers team, I would BET TIGERS +1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

It definitely is a plus for the Over that these pitchers face the same team in back-to-back starts. Pair that with Baltimore’s 6-4-1 trend to the Over and I see this as a high-scoring game.

LEAN OVER 8 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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