The Baltimore Orioles (1-1) and Boston Red Sox (1-1) close out their season-opening 3-game series at Fenway Park on Sunday. First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Orioles took Thursday’s lid-lifter 10-9. The Red Sox bounced back with a dramatic 9-8 win on Saturday.
The Red Sox were trailing 8-7 on Saturday, but won when CF Adam Duvall hit a 2-out, 2-run HR in the bottom of the 9th. The walk-off HR capped a comeback from a 7-1 deficit in the the 3rd inning.
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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters
LHP Cole Irvin vs. RHP Tanner Houck
Irvin pitched for Oakland last season, going 9-13 with a 3.98 ERA. He notched a 1.16 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 181 IP.
- Owns a 4.40 ERA over 405 career IP
- Faces what figures to be a left-leaning Boston lineup; held lefty batters to a .638 OPS last season
Houck went 5-4 with a 3.15 last season. He appeared in 32 games (4 as a starter) and logged a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.4 in 60 IP.
- Has held opposing batters to a .658 OPS in 8 career April games (5 starts)
- Albeit in a small sample, he has held current Baltimore bats to an aggregate .528 OPS
Orioles at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Boston 6, Baltimore 5
Moneyline
This has been a level series the last couple of years, and both starting pitchers are fade-worthy, being slightly overrated by their 2022 surface numbers. PASS, and look to the Over for the best leverage.
Run line/Against the spread
The Red Sox are a theoretical lean here, but the 30-cent line is tough to work around. PASS.
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Over/Under
The weather is a factor (temps not expected to reach 40), but the play here is to follow games 1 and 2 into the Over column. A depth of batters on each side is dialed in so far. The starters both had favorable numbers around the margins last season and are a bit overrated on paper. And neither bullpen is in great shape after the 36 runs scored so far.
TAKE THE OVER 9 (-105).
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