The Baltimore Orioles (1-0) and Boston Red Sox (0-1) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game season-opening series at Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Baltimore leads 1-0.
The Orioles took Thursday’s lid-lifter 10-9. They have split 20 games with Boston since the beginning of last season. Baltimore has been outscored just 115-113 over those meetings.
The Red Sox played .769 ball last June but are 17 games under .500 since (35-52). The Orioles swiped 5 bases in Thursday’s game, the most stolen bases Boston had yielded in a single game since Sept. 5, 2013, when they allowed 6 to the New York Yankees.
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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Chris Sale
Kremer went 8-7 with a 3.23 ERA last season. He notched 1.25 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 125 1/3 IP.
- vs. Boston in 2022: 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP across 16 IP
- current Red Sox batters aggregate vs. Kremer: .312 AVG, .940 OPS
Sale was injured for much of 2022; he pitched in 2 games, clocking a 3.18 ERA in 5 2/3 IP. He owns a 114-75 mark and a 3.03 ERA over his 12-year career.
- Pitching in April for the 1st time since 2019 when he allowed a .740 OPS
- current Orioles vs. Sale: .195 AVG, .653 OPS, 17 K, 1 BB
Orioles at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orioles +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Red Sox -167 (bet $167 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-139) | Red Sox -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Boston 6, Baltimore 5
Moneyline
This has been a level series the last couple of years, and both starting pitchers have some warts in Saturday’s match-up. PASS, and look to the Over for the best leverage.
Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles getting runs would be the only half-interesting play here. Even then, we should be wanting a lower price tag there.
PASS.
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Over/Under
A bit of a warm-up and an outward-blowing breeze is in the Fenway forecast. Both starters a fade-worth: neither was particularly sharp in spring training, and Kremer’s 2022 campaign stands out as one aided by a friendly 77.8% left-on-base rate and an HR/FB mark of 7.3%. The Baltimore righty owns a 9.45 ERA across 3 career turns at Fenway Park.
TAKE THE OVER 9 (-105).
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